Switzerland vs 03.10.26 18:452 – 1Full Time
Slovenia — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Switzerland fight back to edge Slovenia in Nations League clash
Switzerland came from behind to beat Slovenia 2-1 at the Swissporarena in a UEFA Nations League League B meeting, with all three goals arriving inside the opening 38 minutes. The result lifted Yakin's side to the top of League B Group 1, while Slovenia remained second.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Slovenia made the brisker start, going ahead inside two minutes when Žan Vipotnik converted an assist from Aljoša Matko. Switzerland levelled by the tenth minute through an own goal credited to Erik Janža, and Dan Ndoye put the hosts in front on 38 minutes, a lead they held to the interval and through to full time.
The home side dominated territory, enjoying 67 percent of possession and outshooting their visitors 13 to 10, with six efforts on target compared to three for Slovenia. Discipline was uneven throughout, with Slovenia picking up five yellow cards and committing 15 fouls against Switzerland's eight, though neither side saw a man sent off.
Vipotnik struck inside two minutes to give Slovenia an early lead, finishing the contest with a rating of 7.71 despite the eventual defeat. Ndoye also contributed with the decisive goal for Switzerland, underlining his influence on the contest.
Switzerland's control of the ball was pronounced, with 67 percent possession reflecting their grip on proceedings for long periods.
Switzerland beat Slovenia 2–1 (half-time 2–1).
Switzerland met Slovenia in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 3 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Swissporarena. Referee: Ivan Kruzliak.
Team pages: Switzerland · Slovenia · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Žan Vipotnik (assist: Aljoša Matko) — 0–1 · Watch Žan Vipotnik's goal video (2')
- 10' Goal (own goal): Erik Janža — 1–1 · Watch Erik Janža's goal video (10')
- 38' Goal: Dan Ndoye — 2–1 · Watch Dan Ndoye's goal video (38')
Starting line-ups
Switzerland (4-2-3-1)
Slovenia (5-4-1)
- 1 Jan Oblak (c)
- 13 Erik Janža
- 17 David Zec
- 6 Jaka Bijol
- 21 Vanja Drkušić
- 2 Žan Karničnik
- 15 Danijel Šturm
- 8 Sandi Lovrić
- 4 Mark Zabukovnik
- 20 Aljoša Matko
- 18 Žan Vipotnik
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Switzerland 72%, the draw 19%, Slovenia 9%. It finished Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia.
Switzerland's rating gap decides it — Switzerland are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Switzerland's 72%. The draw at 19% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Switzerland at 72%?
Switzerland sit 257 points higher on our strength rating — 1960 to 1703. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.0% of 5,565 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–18–10.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 72% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Slovenia at 9%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,719. The goals environment adds 1.9 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Switzerland have averaged 17 percentage points more possession than Slovenia in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Switzerland have gained 66 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,146 such games vs 40.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Switzerland vs Slovenia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Žan Vipotnik's goal against Switzerland (2').
- Watch Erik Janža's own goal video (10').
- Watch Dan Ndoye's goal against Slovenia (38').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia. Explore more on the Switzerland and Slovenia team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.