Rep. Of Ireland vs 04.10.26 18:451 – 1Full Time
Israel — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Parrott penalty not enough as Israel hold Republic of Ireland to draw
Republic of Ireland and Israel shared the points in a UEFA Nations League League B meeting that finished 1-1 at Gradski Stadion, with both sides level on goals after Dor Peretz cancelled out an early Troy Parrott penalty.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Parrott converted from the spot in the 39th minute to put the home side ahead at the break, having led 1-0 at half-time. Israel responded quickly after the restart, Peretz levelling matters in the 47th minute to make it 1-1, and the scoreline held firm from there to the final whistle.
Ireland shaded the possession count at 55 percent to 45 and produced the greater attacking threat, firing 15 shots to Israel's 10 with four on target against two. Israel picked up three yellow cards to Ireland's one across a contest that saw 13 fouls from the home side and 15 from the visitors, though neither team had a man dismissed.
The result left Ireland third in Group 3 on five points from four matches, while Israel sit fourth with two points from the same number of games.
Troy Parrott's penalty strike proved the difference-maker for the home side, earning him the top rating of the match at 7.49 as his lone goal and composed display stood out.
Ireland's 15 shots to Israel's 10 underlined their greater control of the attacking play throughout the contest.
Rep. Of Ireland and Israel drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Rep. Of Ireland met Israel in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 4 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Gradski Stadion. Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera.
Team pages: Rep. Of Ireland · Israel · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 39' Goal (penalty): Troy Parrott — 1–0 · Watch Troy Parrott's goal video (39')
- 47' Goal: Dor Peretz — 1–1 · Watch Dor Peretz's goal video (47')
Starting line-ups
Rep. Of Ireland (3-4-2-1)
Israel (5-4-1)
- 23 Assaf Tzur
- 3 Roy Revivo
- 13 Nikita Stoioanov
- 5 Idan Nachmias
- 17 Ilay Feingold
- 20 Liel Abada
- 11 Oscar Gloukh
- 21 Ethane Azoulay
- 15 Eliel Peretz
- 8 Dor Peretz (c)
- 19 Dor Turgeman
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rep. Of Ireland 58%, the draw 23%, Israel 19%. It finished Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 Israel.
Rep. Of Ireland's rating edge carries it — Rep. Of Ireland are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Rep. Of Ireland's 58%. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Rep. Of Ireland at 58%?
Rep. Of Ireland sit 124 points higher on our strength rating — 1691 to 1567. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 13,293 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 61–20–19.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Israel at 19%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,819. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Israel have averaged 9 percentage points more possession than Rep. Of Ireland in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Rep. Of Ireland have gained 83 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,167 such games vs 40.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Troy Parrott's goal against Israel (39').
- Watch Dor Peretz's goal against Rep. Of Ireland (47').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 Israel. Explore more on the Rep. Of Ireland and Israel team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.