Match report
Greece and Germany play out goalless draw in Nations League
Greece and Germany shared a goalless draw at Toumba Stadium in UEFA Nations League, League A - 4 action, with neither side able to find a breakthrough across the 90 minutes. The result left the scoreline level at half-time and full-time alike, with the match settling into a pattern that never yielded a goal.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Germany dominated territorially, holding 70 percent of possession against Greece's 30, and translated that control into a far heavier share of the shooting, firing 21 attempts to the hosts' 5. Yet precision was lacking at the other end, with only 4 of those efforts on target compared to Greece's 2, and the scoreline stayed blank throughout.
The contest was a physical one, with Greece committing 8 fouls to Germany's 17, and both teams picked up three yellow cards apiece, though no player was sent off. Greece edged the corner count narrowly in the closing exchanges, but neither side could convert their respective openings into the goal that would have broken the deadlock.
David Raum was the best-rated performer on the pitch, finishing with a rating of 7.65 for Germany despite neither scoring nor assisting.
Germany's dominance in possession, at 70 percent to Greece's 30, underlined how one-sided territorial control was in a match that still finished scoreless.
Greece and Germany drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Greece met Germany in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 4 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Toumba Stadium. Referee: Clement Turpin.
Team pages: Greece · Germany · UEFA Nations League
Starting line-ups
Greece (4-4-2)
Germany (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Greece 25%, the draw 23%, Germany 52%. It finished Greece 0–0 Germany.
Germany's rating gap outweighs Greece's home ground — Germany are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Germany's 52%. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Germany at 52%?
Germany sit 183 points higher on our strength rating — 1739 to 1922. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.6% of 6,704 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–24–48.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Greece at 25%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,819. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Germany have averaged 15 percentage points more possession than Greece in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Germany scored +0.64 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,830 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Greece vs Germany final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Greece 0–0 Germany. Explore more on the Greece and Germany team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.