Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt — Eliteserien: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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TromsoBodo/GlimtTromsoBodo/GlimtMatch preview
Tromso host second-placed Bodo/Glimt at Romssa Arena in Eliteserien
Tromso welcome Bodo/Glimt to Romssa Arena on matchday 26 of the Eliteserien, with the hosts sixth on 40 points from 25 games. Jørgen Vik's side arrive on the back of two consecutive defeats, going down 3-1 at Viking and then 4-0 at Valerenga last time out.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Kjetil Knutsen's Bodo/Glimt sit second on 59 points, 19 clear of their opponents and four places higher in the table. Their recent results have been mixed: a 3-2 home win over Viking was followed by a goalless draw with Lille in their latest game, after home defeats by Valerenga and a 4-3 loss at Napoli earlier in October.
Tromso's home record offers a firmer footing than their overall run. In their last five home games they are unbeaten, with two wins and three draws, and they have kept two clean sheets in that sequence, conceding four goals in total.
Across their last 5 meetings, Tromso won 1, Bodo/Glimt won 2, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Bodo/Glimt 5–0 Tromso on 16 May 2026. Tromso's latest win in this sample was Tromso 2–1 Bodo/Glimt on 16 May 2025.
Tromso have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, scoring six and conceding 11, while Bodo/Glimt have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring eight and conceding seven.
Bodo/Glimt have lost three of their last five away games, conceding 12 goals in the process, while Tromso have not lost any of their last five at home.
Tromso meet Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 13:30 UTC at Romssa Arena.
Team pages: Tromso · Bodo/Glimt · Eliteserien
Sirius · Why these numbers
Tromso 16% · Draw 17% · Bodo/Glimt 67%
Bodo/Glimt's strength rating gives them a clear lead — We give Bodo/Glimt 67%, mainly because they sit 288 points higher on our strength rating, 1794 to 1506, which outweighs the usual home advantage Tromso start with. The draw is at 17%, a little below the usual 19% for a gap this size, as both teams' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Bodo/Glimt at 67%?
Bodo/Glimt sit 288 points higher on our strength rating — 1794 to 1506. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,321 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 15–19–66.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Tromso at 16%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,729. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than Tromso in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Tromso have shed 86 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,432 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Eliteserien fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Tromso and Bodo/Glimt team pages or the Eliteserien page.