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Viking
KFUM OsloVikingKFUM OsloMatch preview
Viking host KFUM Oslo with table-topping Eliteserien status on the line
Eliteserien leaders Viking welcome KFUM Oslo to Lyse Arena on matchday 26 sitting first in the table with 59 points from 25 games. Bjarte Aarsheim's side are 28 points clear of the visitors, who are tenth on 31 points, a gap of nine places.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Viking have won three of their last five, scoring 13 goals and conceding ten. Their most recent outing was a 4-1 home win over Sabah FA, following a 3-2 defeat at Bodo/Glimt. At Lyse Arena they have won four of their last five home games, scoring 16 goals, with one draw in the other.
Jørgen Isnes's KFUM Oslo are unbeaten in six games, though their last three have all been draws: 1-1 at Tromso, 2-2 at Kristiansund BK and 2-2 with Ham-Kam at home. They have won two of their last five, scoring ten and conceding seven, and have not failed to score in any of those games.
Across their last 5 meetings, Viking won 4, KFUM Oslo won 0, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was KFUM Oslo 0–2 Viking on 10 May 2026.
Viking have won three and lost two of their last five, while KFUM Oslo have won two and drawn three, with no defeats.
Both sides have faced Tromso recently: Viking beat them 3-1 at home on 25 October, a week after KFUM Oslo drew 1-1 away to them.
Viking meet KFUM Oslo in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 16:00 UTC at Lyse Arena.
Team pages: Viking · KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien
Sirius · Why these numbers
Viking 84% · Draw 11% · KFUM Oslo 5%
Viking's big strength edge makes this one-sided — We give Viking 84% mainly because they sit 332 points higher on our strength rating, 1763 to 1431, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw starts near 12%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 11% because both sides' own recent games average 3.9 goals.
Why Viking at 84%?
Viking sit 332 points higher on our strength rating — 1763 to 1431. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,982 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 84–11–5.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 84% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 11% and KFUM Oslo at 5%.
Why is the draw only 11%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 11.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.9 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,729. The goals environment takes 1.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Viking are unbeaten in their last 18 home Eliteserien games: 18 wins and 0 draws. The run began on 31 August 2025. It covers all 12 home Eliteserien games this season. Last recorded home league defeat: 19 July 2025 — Viking 2–4 Bodo/Glimt. Latest home league result: 25 October 2026 — Viking 3–1 Tromso. Across 16,578 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.2%, compared with 54.2% expected from team strength. Viking won 4 of the last 5 meetings with KFUM Oslo. The record is 4 wins for Viking, 1 draw and 0 wins for KFUM Oslo. These were 5 Eliteserien games played at both grounds between 7 July 2024 and 10 May 2026. Viking are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings between the sides (4 wins, 1 draw), a run going back to July 2024. Latest meeting: 10 May 2026 — KFUM Oslo 0–2 Viking. In 5,573 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Viking vs KFUM Oslo, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Eliteserien fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Viking and KFUM Oslo team pages or the Eliteserien page.