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Rosenborg
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Rosenborg host Start at Lerkendal Stadion with a 12-place gap in the table
Rosenborg welcome Start to Lerkendal Stadion in Eliteserien on matchday 26, with Freyr Alexandersson's side fourth on 43 points after 25 games. Azar Karadas's Start are 16th on 19 points from the same number of matches, 24 points behind their hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Rosenborg arrive on a run of three straight wins and are unbeaten in seven games. In their last five they have won four and drawn one, scoring 13 goals and conceding two, with three clean sheets. Their most recent outing was a 3-0 win away to Fredrikstad on 31 October.
Start's recent results are far less settled: they have lost four of their last five, conceding 14 goals and scoring four. They were beaten 6-1 at Molde on 18 October and lost 1-0 at home to Lillestrom last time out. In their last five away games they have won one and lost four, with Rosenborg's last five home games bringing four wins and a draw.
Across their last 5 meetings, Rosenborg won 4, Start won 0, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Start 0–3 Rosenborg on 18 July 2026.
Rosenborg have won four of their last five and conceded twice, while Start have lost four of theirs and shipped 14 goals.
Both sides have faced Sandefjord and Ham-Kam recently: Rosenborg drew 1-1 with Sandefjord and won 3-0 at Ham-Kam, while Start beat Sandefjord 1-0 but lost 4-2 to Ham-Kam.
Rosenborg meet Start in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 17:00 UTC at Lerkendal Stadion. Referee: Espen Eskas.
Team pages: Rosenborg · Start · Eliteserien
Sirius · Why these numbers
Rosenborg 80% · Draw 13% · Start 7%
Rosenborg's big strength edge makes this one-sided — We give Rosenborg 80% mainly because they sit 304 points higher on our strength rating, 1619 to 1314, and they also get the usual home advantage. The draw sits at 13%, starting from the usual 14% for a gap this size and nudged down because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why Rosenborg at 80%?
Rosenborg sit 304 points higher on our strength rating — 1619 to 1314. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,987 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 78–14–8.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 80% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 13% and Start at 7%.
Why is the draw only 13%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 14.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Rosenborg have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than Start in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Rosenborg have gained 118 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Rosenborg vs Start, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Eliteserien fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Rosenborg and Start team pages or the Eliteserien page.