Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 8′Sao Paulo, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 13′RB Bragantino, yellow card:Foul
- 14′Sao Paulo, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 45+4′Sao Paulo, goal:2–0
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 46′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 55′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 68′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 68′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 71′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 71′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 78′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 83′RB Bragantino, yellow card:Argument
- 84′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 84′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 84′Sao Paulo, yellow card:Time wasting
- 86′RB Bragantino, yellow card:Foul
- 90′RB Bragantino, goal:2–1assist
- 90′RB Bragantino, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- 90+5′RB Bragantino, yellow card:Foul
- 90+6′Sao Paulo, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time2 – 1
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Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Match report
Sao Paulo end losing run with 2-1 win over Bragantino
Sao Paulo snapped a poor run of results with a 2-1 victory over RB Bragantino in Brasileirão Série A action at Estadio Do MorumBIS, a result that lifted Junior Dorival's side despite still sitting 11th in the table. Bragantino, in eighth, arrived unbeaten in three but left with their winning form undone by a first-half collapse.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Luciano opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 14th minute, giving the hosts an early cushion, and Sao Paulo doubled their advantage deep into the first half when G. Santana struck in the fourth minute of stoppage time to make it 2-0 at the interval. That two-goal lead held for the rest of the contest as Bragantino struggled to find a way through.
The visitors finally got on the scoreboard in the 90th minute when Fernando converted an assist from Henry Mosquera, but it proved no more than a consolation as Sao Paulo saw out the remaining moments to secure the points. Despite dominating possession, Bragantino could not turn control of the ball into a leveller.
G. Santana produced the standout contribution among Sao Paulo's forwards, scoring the decisive second goal and finishing with a match rating of 7.7.
Sao Paulo made their limited share of possession count, managing 16 shots to Bragantino's eight despite having only 38% of the ball.
Sao Paulo beat RB Bragantino 2–1 (half-time 2–0).
Sao Paulo met RB Bragantino in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 23:00 UTC at Estadio Do MorumBIS. Referee: Anderson Daronco. Attendance: 34,954.
Team pages: Sao Paulo · RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 14' Goal (penalty): Luciano — 1–0
- 45+4' Goal: G. Santana — 2–0
- 90' Goal: Fernando (assist: Henry Mosquera) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Sao Paulo (3-4-2-1)
- 23 Rafael
- 35 Sabino
- 5 Robert Arboleda
- 22 Domingos Duarte
- 12 Iago
- 8 Marcos Antônio
- 94 Danielzinho
- 20 Aurélio Buta
- 43 G. Santana
- 37 Artur
- 10 Luciano (c)
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sao Paulo 45%, the draw 31%, RB Bragantino 24%. It finished Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino.
Home ground outweighs RB Bragantino's rating edge — RB Bragantino are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Sao Paulo's control of the ball plus Brasileirão Série A home advantage give Sao Paulo the lean. The draw at 31% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Sao Paulo at 45%?
Home ground, against the rating. RB Bragantino sit 50 points higher on our strength rating — 1621 to 1672. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,549 such games. Sao Paulo hold 7 more possession points (54 to 47 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,187 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,414 games vs 44.9% across all 99,457 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 45%?
Because RB Bragantino are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 31% and RB Bragantino at 24%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the RB Bragantino win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,679. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.6 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Sao Paulo have shed 88 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,671 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: Sao Paulo 3 wins, 2 draws, RB Bragantino 1 win. Most recently RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo, 5 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5060 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino. Explore more on the Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.