Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 35′Atletico Paranaense, goal:1–0assist
- 38′Fluminense, goal:1–1
- 45+5′Fluminense, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 48′Atletico Paranaense, goal:2–1
- 49′Atletico Paranaense, yellow card:Time wasting
- 59′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 59′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 64′Fluminense, goal:2–2
- 71′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 71′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 75′Fluminense, yellow card:Foul
- 78′Fluminense, goal:2–3assist
- 80′Atletico Paranaense, yellow card:Argument
- 83′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 83′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 87′Atletico Paranaense, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 89′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 90′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 90+5′Atletico Paranaense, penalty goal:3–3Penalty
- Full-time3 – 3
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Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Match report
Viveros penalty rescues 3-3 draw for Atletico Paranaense against Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense shared six goals in a Brasileirão Série A round 25 fixture at Arena da Baixada that finished 3-3, with the hosts needing a stoppage-time penalty to salvage a point against a Fluminense side that had led twice in the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Leozinho put Atletico Paranaense ahead in the 35th minute, finishing off a Steven Mendoza assist, but Hulk levelled for Fluminense just three minutes later and the sides went in level at the break. Gastón Benavídez restored the home lead early in the second half, only for Agustín Canobbio to draw Fluminense level again on 65 minutes.
Fluminense then went ahead through Ignacio, who converted a Hulk assist in the 78th minute to make it 3-2. Atletico Paranaense pushed forward looking for an equaliser and got their reward deep into added time, when Kevin Viveros converted a penalty in the 90th plus fifth minute to make it 3-3 and deny Fluminense the win.
Atletico Paranaense had the better of the underlying numbers despite finishing level, registering 17 shots to Fluminense's 12 and an expected goals figure of 1.11 against 0.57, while also winning eight corners to Fluminense's three, even though Fluminense held the greater share of possession at 53 percent.
Leozinho scored the opening goal and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.7 for Atletico Paranaense, while Hulk also impressed, scoring once and setting up Ignacio's decisive third goal for Fluminense.
Atletico Paranaense more than doubled Fluminense's expected goals tally at 1.11 to 0.57, reflecting their greater threat in front of goal despite conceding three times.
Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense drew 3–3 (half-time 1–1).
Atletico Paranaense met Fluminense in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at Arena da Baixada. Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima. Attendance: 35,231.
Team pages: Atletico Paranaense · Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 35' Goal: Leozinho (assist: Stiven Mendoza) — 1–0
- 38' Goal: Hulk — 1–1
- 48' Goal: Gastón Benavídez — 2–1
- 64' Goal: Agustín Canobbio — 2–2
- 78' Goal: Ignacio (assist: Hulk) — 2–3
- 90+5' Goal (penalty): Kevin Viveros — 3–3
Starting line-ups
Atletico Paranaense (3-4-2-1)
- 23 Santos (c)
- 4 Arthur Dias
- 33 Juan Aguirre
- 25 Dantas
- 7 Stiven Mendoza
- 14 Luiz Gustavo
- 16 Jádson
- 29 Gastón Benavídez
- 8 João Cruz
- 21 Leozinho
- 9 Kevin Viveros
Fluminense (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Fábio
- 6 Renê
- 29 Julián Millán
- 4 Ignacio
- 23 Guga
- 8 Martinelli
- 16 Nonato
- 30 Yeferson Soteldo
- 10 Ganso (c)
- 17 Agustín Canobbio
- 7 Hulk
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atletico Paranaense 40%, the draw 34%, Fluminense 26%. It finished Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense.
Level sides, home ground holds off Fluminense's control of the ball — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage gives Atletico Paranaense the lean. The draw at 34% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Atletico Paranaense in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1718 to 1764. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,844 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,417 games vs 44.9% across all 99,542 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 40%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Fluminense hold 10 more possession points (58 to 48 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.2% across 5,558 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Fluminense win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,154. The goals environment adds 3.8 points to the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last 10 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,550 games vs 54.5% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. Fluminense are missing 3 regular starters — Luciano Acosta, Hércules, Guga — about 36% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense. Explore more on the Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.