Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 50′Mirassol, goal:1–0assist
- 69′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 70′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 70′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 70′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 75′Palmeiras, goal:1–1assist
- 76′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 79′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 79′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 83′Mirassol, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 85′Mirassol, yellow card:Roughing
- 85′Mirassol, yellow card:
- 87′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 90+6′Palmeiras, yellow card:Tripping
- 90+8′Palmeiras, second yellow card:Tripping
- Full-time1 – 1
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Mirassol
Palmeiras
Match report
Mirassol hold league leaders Palmeiras to draw despite late red card
Mirassol and Palmeiras shared the points in a 1-1 draw in matchday 25 of the Brasileirão Série A, a result that did little to ease the home side's troubles near the foot of the table while leaving leaders Palmeiras unbeaten in the fixture. The game was goalless at half-time before bursting into life after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Eduardo broke the deadlock in the 50th minute, finishing off a assist from Igor Formiga to give Mirassol the lead. Palmeiras responded through Maurício in the 75th minute, with Gustavo Gómez providing the assist to level the score at 1-1, a scoreline that held until the final whistle.
Deep into stoppage time, Palmeiras were reduced to ten men when Arthur was sent off in the 90+8th minute, but there was no further scoring as Mirassol claimed a share of the spoils against the division's top side. Referee João Gobi took charge of a contest that produced 27 fouls between the two teams.
Palmeiras edged the possession and shot count, and their extra-time indiscipline aside, they created the better chances overall, though Mirassol's directness on the counter proved just as effective in front of goal.
Eduardo scored Mirassol's opener and was rated the top performer of the match with an 8.0 rating, while Maurício's equaliser for Palmeiras also earned him a strong 7.3 mark.
Palmeiras' 1.52 expected goals figure comfortably outstripped Mirassol's 0.75, reflecting their greater share of the game's clearer openings.
Mirassol and Palmeiras drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Mirassol met Palmeiras in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 21:30 UTC at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Referee: João Gobi. Attendance: 10,599.
Team pages: Mirassol · Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 50' Goal: Eduardo (assist: Igor Formiga) — 1–0
- 75' Goal: Maurício (assist: Gustavo Gómez) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Mirassol (4-2-3-1)
- 22 Walter
- 6 Reinaldo
- 3 Willian Machado
- 34 João Victor (c)
- 32 Igor Formiga
- 25 Neto Moura
- 27 Denilson
- 77 Alesson
- 33 Eduardo
- 19 Gustavo Silva
- 30 Bruno Santos
Palmeiras (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Mirassol 26%, the draw 25%, Palmeiras 49%. It finished Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras.
Palmeiras' rating gap outweighs Mirassol's home ground — Palmeiras are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Palmeiras' 49%. The draw at 25% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Palmeiras at 49%?
Palmeiras sit 264 points higher on our strength rating — 1651 to 1915. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,053 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 23–23–54.
Why only 49%?
Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,417 games vs 44.9% across all 99,542 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,926. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Palmeiras average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 264 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Mirassol are missing 2 regular starters — Denilson, Edson — about 26% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Mirassol vs Palmeiras final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras. Explore more on the Mirassol and Palmeiras team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.