Gremio vs 30.08.26 21:303 – 1Full TimeChapecoense-sc — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis

Match report

Gustavo Martins double lifts Gremio past Chapecoense-sc

Gremio came from behind to beat Chapecoense-sc 3-1 at home in matchday 25 of the Brasileirão Série A, a result that lifted them to 15th in the table while leaving their opponents rooted in 20th place.

AI-assisted match report written from official match data.

Chapecoense-sc struck first when Garcez converted a Giovanni Augusto assist in the 15th minute, but Gremio responded quickly. Gustavo Martins levelled three minutes later from a José Enamorado pass, and Cristian Pavón put the home side ahead in the 28th minute, sending them into the break leading 2-1.

The second half brought further reward for Gremio as Gustavo Martins added his second of the night in the 56th minute, this time teed up by Pavón, to make it 3-1 and settle the contest. Chapecoense-sc pushed for a way back but could not find another breakthrough, with Gremio's front line proving decisive throughout.

Gustavo Martins scored twice, including the equaliser and what proved the decisive third goal, finishing with a rating of 8.9. Weverton, meanwhile, posted the highest mark of the match at 9.3 despite registering no goals or assists.

Chapecoense-sc's 32 shots to Gremio's 12 underline how one-sided the volume of attempts was, even though the home side made theirs count.

Gremio beat Chapecoense-sc 3–1 (half-time 2–1).

Gremio met Chapecoense-sc in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 21:30 UTC at Arena do Grêmio. Referee: Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima. Attendance: 22,522.

Team pages: Gremio · Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A

Key moments

15' Goal: Garcez (assist: Giovanni Augusto) — 0–1
18' Goal: Gustavo Martins (assist: José Enamorado) — 1–1
28' Goal: Cristian Pavón — 2–1
56' Goal: Gustavo Martins (assist: Cristian Pavón) — 3–1

Starting line-ups

Gremio (4-1-4-1)

Chapecoense-sc (4-2-3-1)

Sirius · Why these numbers

Before kick-off Sirius gave Gremio 74%, the draw 22%, Chapecoense-sc 4%. It finished Gremio 3–1 Chapecoense-sc.

Gremio's rating gap decides it — Gremio are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Gremio. The draw at 22% is helped by a draw-heavy league.

Why Gremio at 74%?

Gremio sit 300 points higher on our strength rating — 1650 to 1350. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,102 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,417 games vs 44.9% across all 99,542 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–20–10.

Why not higher?

No scored evidence points the other way. 74% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Chapecoense-sc at 4%.

Why is the draw only 22%?

With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,699. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.

What did we measure but not count?

Gremio average 9 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 300 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Gremio are missing 5 regular starters — Gustavo Martins, Erick Noriega, Juan Nardoni — about 46% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.

Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab

About this match

On this page: the Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.

Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.

Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Gremio 3–1 Chapecoense-sc. Explore more on the Gremio and Chapecoense-sc team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.

Quick answers

›What was the final score of Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?

Gremio beat Chapecoense-sc 3–1 (half-time 2–1).

›Who scored in Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?

Garcez (15') for Chapecoense-sc; Gustavo Martins (18') for Gremio; Cristian Pavón (28') for Gremio; Gustavo Martins (56') for Gremio.

›Where can I watch Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc highlights?

Goal highlights and video clips from Gremio 3–1 Chapecoense-sc are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.

›What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Chapecoense-sc?

Gremio and Chapecoense-sc have met 10 times — 6 wins for Gremio, 1 win for Chapecoense-sc and 3 draws.