Match report
Samuel Lino brace helps Flamengo brush aside Botafogo
Flamengo eased to a 3-0 win over Botafogo in matchday 25 of the Brasileirão Série A, dominating for long spells before finishing the job in the closing stages. Samuel Lino opened the scoring after 13 minutes, latching onto a Jorginho assist to give the hosts a lead they never looked like relinquishing.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Botafogo held out for much of the second half without conceding again, but the pressure told late on. Lino struck a second in the 86th minute, teed up by Jorge Carrascal, before Carrascal turned provider into scorer himself in stoppage time, finishing off an Everton assist to complete the 3-0 scoreline in the final minute.
Flamengo controlled possession throughout, holding the ball for 64 percent of the match and outshooting their visitors 18 to 15, with six shots on target compared to Botafogo's five. The home side's control was also reflected in the expected goals numbers, 1.7 against 0.79, underlining how much more of the meaningful chances fell their way.
Samuel Lino scored twice, including the decisive third-minute-added-time-adjacent strike in the 86th minute, and was rated 9.6, the highest mark of the match.
Flamengo's 64 percent possession share told the story of a match they controlled from start to finish.
Flamengo beat Botafogo 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Flamengo met Botafogo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano. Attendance: 65,970.
Team pages: Flamengo · Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Samuel Lino (assist: Jorginho) — 1–0 · Watch Samuel Lino's goal video (13')
- 86' Goal: Samuel Lino (assist: Jorge Carrascal) — 2–0
- 89' Goal: Jorge Carrascal (assist: Everton) — 3–0 · Watch Jorge Carrascal's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Flamengo (4-2-3-1)
Botafogo (3-4-2-1)
- 12 Gabriel Batista
- 21 Marçal
- 34 G. Justino
- 5 Nahuel Ferraresi
- 13 Alex Telles (c)
- 8 Danilo Santos
- 75 Huguinho
- 2 Vitinho
- 10 Álvaro Montoro
- 88 Edenílson
- 19 Arthur Cabral
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Flamengo 59%, the draw 28%, Botafogo 13%. It finished Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo.
Flamengo's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Flamengo are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top gives Flamengo a clear lead. The draw at 28% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Flamengo at 59%?
Flamengo sit 175 points higher on our strength rating — 1905 to 1729. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,760 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,417 games vs 44.9% across all 99,542 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 65–20–15.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Botafogo at 13%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Botafogo win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,699. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Flamengo average 14 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 175 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Flamengo scored +0.31 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,810 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Flamengo vs Botafogo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Samuel Lino's goal against Botafogo (13').
- Watch Jorge Carrascal's goal against Botafogo (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo. Explore more on the Flamengo and Botafogo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Flamengo vs Botafogo?
Flamengo beat Botafogo 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Flamengo vs Botafogo?
Samuel Lino (13') for Flamengo; Samuel Lino (86') for Flamengo; Jorge Carrascal (89') for Flamengo.
›Where can I watch Flamengo vs Botafogo highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Botafogo?
Flamengo and Botafogo have met 10 times — 5 wins for Flamengo, 4 wins for Botafogo and 1 draw.