Toronto FC vs New England Revolution — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 25′New England Revolution, yellow card:Foul
- 40′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 43′Toronto FC, own goal:1–0Own goal
- 45′Toronto FC, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 73′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 74′Toronto FC, yellow card:Foul
- 76′Toronto FC, red card:Foul
- 81′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 81′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 81′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 86′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 90′New England Revolution, goal:2–1assist
- 90+1′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 90+1′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Match report
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution — the facts
Toronto FC beat New England Revolution 2–1 (half-time 2–0).
Toronto FC met New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 19). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at BMO Field. Referee: J. Dickerson.
Team pages: Toronto FC · New England Revolution · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 43' Goal (own goal): Will Sands — 1–0
- 45' Goal: Niklas Dorsch (assist: Djordje Mihailović) — 2–0
- 76' Red card: Djordje Mihailović
- 90' Goal: Wilson Harris (assist: Jack Harrison) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Toronto FC (4-2-3-1)
New England Revolution (4-3-3)
- 30 Matt Turner
- 23 Will Sands
- 2 Mamadou Fofana
- 22 E. Kohler
- 8 Matt Polster
- 80 Alhassan Yusuf
- 21 Brooklyn Raines
- 10 Carles Gil (c)
- 25 Peyton Miller
- 99 Dor Turgeman
- 11 Jack Harrison
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Toronto FC 44%, the draw 28%, New England Revolution 28%. It finished Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution.
Home ground outweighs New England Revolution's rating edge — New England Revolution are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage gives Toronto FC the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Toronto FC at 44%?
Home ground, against the rating. New England Revolution sit 87 points higher on our strength rating — 1416 to 1503. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,505 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,071 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 44%?
Because New England Revolution are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 28% and New England Revolution at 28%.
Why is the draw second, level with the New England Revolution win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,785.
What did we measure but not count?
Toronto FC on 15 days' rest, New England Revolution on 7. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 43,403 measured games no rest advantage repeated.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Toronto FC vs New England Revolution final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution. Explore more on the Toronto FC and New England Revolution team pages or the Major League Soccer page.

