Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- -5′Atlanta United FC, yellow card:
- 6′New York Red Bulls, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 48′Atlanta United FC, yellow card:Foul
- 68′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 69′Atlanta United FC, goal:1–1assist
- 71′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 79′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 79′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 79′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 80′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 80′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 82′Atlanta United FC, goal:2–1assist
- 82′Atlanta United FC, yellow card:
- 86′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 86′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 86′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 90+5′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:Foul
- 90+9′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Atlanta United FC
4-1-4-1
New York Red Bulls
Formation unavailable
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Match report
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls — the facts
Atlanta United FC beat New York Red Bulls 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Atlanta United FC met New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 19). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Referee: M. de Oliveira.
Team pages: Atlanta United FC · New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 6' Goal: Emil Forsberg (assist: Adri Mehmeti) — 0–1
- 69' Goal: Tristan Muyumba (assist: Aleksey Miranchuk) — 1–1
- 82' Goal: Fafà Picault (assist: Miguel Almirón) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Atlanta United FC (4-1-4-1)
New York Red Bulls
- 2 Justin Che
- 12 Dylan Nealis
- 34 Ethan Horvath
- 15 Adri Mehmeti
- 48 Ronald Donkor
- 16 Julian Hall
- 56 M. Dos Santos
- 14 Julián Bazán
- 91 M. Jimenez
- 7 Cade Cowell
- 10 Emil Forsberg (c)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atlanta United FC 45%, the draw 26%, New York Red Bulls 29%. It finished Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls.
Home ground outweighs New York Red Bulls' rating edge — New York Red Bulls are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage gives Atlanta United FC the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Atlanta United FC at 45%?
Home ground, against the rating. New York Red Bulls sit 77 points higher on our strength rating — 1431 to 1508. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,505 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,071 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 45%?
Because New York Red Bulls are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 26% and New York Red Bulls at 29%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,913. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
New York Red Bulls's last five: D-W-L-L-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2181 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3989 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls. Explore more on the Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls team pages or the Major League Soccer page.