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Los Angeles FC vs 16.08.26 02:300 – 1Full Time
San Diego — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
San Diego secured a 1-0 away win over Los Angeles FC in matchday 19 of the Major League Soccer regular season, played at BMO Stadium. The game remained goalless at half-time before being settled by a single moment deep in the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Anders Dreyer converted a penalty in the 89th minute to put San Diego ahead, and the same player was then sent off in the sixth minute of stoppage time, leaving his side to see out the closing stages a man down. Despite the red card, San Diego held on for the win.
Los Angeles FC had the greater share of possession at 60 percent and produced nine shots to San Diego's 15, though San Diego posted a higher expected goals figure of 1.14 against the hosts' 0.94. San Diego also committed more fouls over the course of the match, with 21 to Los Angeles FC's 12.
Manu Duah was San Diego's top-rated performer on the night, finishing with a rating of 7.5.
Los Angeles FC dominated territorially with 60 percent possession despite falling to defeat.
San Diego won 1–0 away against Los Angeles FC (half-time 0–0).
Los Angeles FC met San Diego in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 19). Kick-off was Sunday, 16 August 2026, 02:30 UTC at BMO Stadium. Referee: Ismail Elfath.
Team pages: Los Angeles FC · San Diego · Major League Soccer
Before kick-off Sirius gave Los Angeles FC 62%, the draw 24%, San Diego 14%. It finished Los Angeles FC 0–1 San Diego.
Los Angeles FC's rating edge carries it — Los Angeles FC are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives Los Angeles FC a clear lead. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Los Angeles FC sit 155 points higher on our strength rating — 1736 to 1581. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,695 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,071 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–27–11.
No scored evidence points the other way. 62% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and San Diego at 14%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,785.
San Diego average 12 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 155 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Los Angeles FC scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,760 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Los Angeles FC vs San Diego final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Los Angeles FC 0–1 San Diego. Explore more on the Los Angeles FC and San Diego team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
San Diego won 1–0 away against Los Angeles FC (half-time 0–0).
Anders Dreyer (89') (penalty) for San Diego.
Goal highlights and video clips from Los Angeles FC 0–1 San Diego are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Los Angeles FC and San Diego have met 3 times — 0 wins for Los Angeles FC, 2 wins for San Diego and 1 draw.