Houston Dynamo vs 18.10.26 00:302 – 2Full Time
FC Dallas — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Houston Dynamo denied by late FC Dallas penalty in 2-2 draw
Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas drew 2-2 at BBVA Compass Stadium in Major League Soccer on Matchday 30, a contest settled by two penalties in stoppage time. FC Dallas had led from the 12th minute, when Christian Cappis converted a chance created by Daniel Job, and they took that one-goal advantage into the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Houston levelled four minutes into the second half. Guilherme supplied the pass for Héctor Herrera, whose finish made it 1-1 in the 49th minute. The home side then pushed for a winner and found it in the 90+4 minute, when Mateusz Bogusz scored from the penalty spot to make it 2-1.
The drama was not over. Petar Musa equalised from the spot in the 90+11 minute to rescue a point for the visitors, and Samuel Sarver was shown a red card a minute later in the 90+12 minute, leaving FC Dallas to finish with ten men. The result left Houston Dynamo without a win in 6 games.
The point lifted FC Dallas to 51 points in sixth place, four ahead of Houston Dynamo in tenth on 47. Houston are at home to Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer next, while FC Dallas also play at home, against San Jose Earthquakes.
Daniel Job, rated 8.08, was the highest-rated player on the pitch after setting up Cappis for the opening goal. Houston's Jonathan Bond followed on 7.84.
FC Dallas had 15 shots to Houston's 11, six of them on target against three.
Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas drew 2–2 (half-time 0–1).
Houston Dynamo met FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at BBVA Compass Stadium. Referee: Victor Rivas. Attendance: 20,112.
Team pages: Houston Dynamo · FC Dallas · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Christian Cappis (assist: Daniel Job) — 0–1
- 49' Goal: Héctor Herrera (assist: Guilherme) — 1–1
- 90+4' Goal (penalty): Mateusz Bogusz — 2–1
- 90+11' Goal (penalty): Petar Musa — 2–2
- 90+12' Red card: Samuel Sarver
Starting line-ups
Houston Dynamo (4-3-3)
FC Dallas (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Houston Dynamo 49%, the draw 26%, FC Dallas 25%. It finished Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC Dallas.
Home advantage outweighs FC Dallas's stronger rating — Our strength rating has FC Dallas 77 points higher, but Houston Dynamo's home advantage, which runs strong for all home sides in Major League Soccer, gives them 49% to 25%. The draw sits at 26%, down from a usual 29% for a gap this size, mainly because FC Dallas's hot finishing streak trims it.
Why Houston Dynamo at 49%?
Home ground, against the rating. FC Dallas sit 77 points higher on our strength rating — 1556 to 1479. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,394 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,237 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. FC Dallas scored +0.49 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.2% of 1,469 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 49%?
Because FC Dallas are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 26% and FC Dallas at 25%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198. The cool-off factor takes 2.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Felipe Andrade, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. FC Dallas won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Houston Dynamo. The record is 3 wins for FC Dallas, 2 draws and 1 win for Houston Dynamo. These were 6 Major League Soccer games played at both grounds between 1 October 2023 and 22 March 2026. Latest meeting: 22 March 2026 — FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo. In 5,653 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC Dallas. Explore more on the Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas team pages or the Major League Soccer page.