Austin vs 18.10.26 00:301 – 2Full Time
Vancouver Whitecaps — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Vancouver Whitecaps come from behind to beat Austin
Vancouver Whitecaps won 2-1 away to Austin in Major League Soccer on Matchday 30 at Q2 Stadium, turning round a half-time deficit with two goals after the interval. The result lifted them from fourth to second in the table on 55 points, while Austin stayed 27th on 31.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Austin led at the break through Myrto Uzuni, who scored in the 40th minute to make it 1-0. Vancouver needed barely a minute of the second half to respond: Ryan Gauld equalised in the 47th minute, set up by Emmanuel Sabbi.
The winner arrived in the 71st minute, when Yadaly Diaby scored from a Tate Johnson assist to make it 2-1. Austin lost a third game in a row, while Vancouver Whitecaps ended a run of four games without a win.
Vancouver Whitecaps travel to Colorado Rapids in Major League Soccer next, while Austin are also away, at Sporting Kansas City in the same competition.
Myrto Uzuni scored Austin's goal in the 40th minute and carried the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 7.53, though it was not enough to prevent defeat.
Austin put five of their nine shots on target, compared with three from ten for Vancouver Whitecaps, yet lost the match.
Vancouver Whitecaps won 2–1 away against Austin (half-time 1–0).
Austin met Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Q2 Stadium. Referee: Tori Penso. Attendance: 20,738.
Team pages: Austin · Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 40' Goal: Myrto Uzuni — 1–0
- 46' Goal: Ryan Gauld (assist: Emmanuel Sabbi) — 1–1
- 71' Goal: Yadaly Diaby (assist: Tate Johnson) — 1–2 · Watch Yadaly Diaby's goal video (71')
Starting line-ups
Austin (3-4-3)
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Austin 37%, the draw 27%, Vancouver Whitecaps 36%. It finished Austin 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Vancouver's strength meets a strong home edge — Our strength rating has Vancouver Whitecaps 154 points higher, but Austin's usual home advantage, boosted because Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm, pulls it back to 37% against 36%. The draw sits at 27%, just under the usual 28% for a gap this size, trimmed slightly because both teams' recent games average 3.1 goals.
Why Austin at 37%?
Home ground, against the rating. Vancouver Whitecaps sit 154 points higher on our strength rating — 1579 to 1425. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,846 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,237 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 37%?
Because Vancouver Whitecaps are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 27% and Vancouver Whitecaps at 36%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198.
What did we measure but not count?
Vancouver Whitecaps have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Austin in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Out: Thomas Müller, an important player, and Jeevan Badwal, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Austin 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps. Explore more on the Austin and Vancouver Whitecaps team pages or the Major League Soccer page.