Seattle Sounders vs 18.10.26 02:301 – 1Full Time
CF Montreal — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Seattle Sounders rescue point against CF Montreal at Lumen Field
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal drew 1-1 at Lumen Field on Matchday 30 of Major League Soccer. The visitors, 29th in the table going into the game, led at the interval through Hennadii Synchuk, but the hosts found an equaliser in the second half to avoid defeat.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Montreal struck first in the 13th minute. Noah Streit supplied the pass and Synchuk finished to make it 1-0 to the away side. That advantage held through the rest of the first half, with Seattle controlling the ball but failing to turn their territory into a goal before the break.
The Sounders levelled in the 66th minute when Sebastian Gomez scored to make it 1-1. Seattle finished with 63% possession to Montreal's 37% and had 18 shots to 9, with five on target to two, yet could not find a winner. The point left Seattle 13th on 42 points and kept Montreal 29th on 25.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 19% chance. Montreal next host Nashville SC in Major League Soccer on Saturday, while Seattle travel to San Diego in the same competition.
Noah Streit created Montreal's opener with the assist for Synchuk and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 7.54. Gomez, who scored Seattle's equaliser, followed on 7.46.
Seattle had 18 shots to Montreal's 9 but managed only a single goal from that pressure.
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Seattle Sounders met CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 02:30 UTC at Lumen Field. Referee: Fotis Bazakos. Attendance: 33,007.
Team pages: Seattle Sounders · CF Montreal · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Hennadii Synchuk (assist: Noah Streit) — 0–1
- 66' Goal: Sebastian Gomez — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
CF Montreal (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Seattle Sounders 72%, the draw 19%, CF Montreal 9%. It finished Seattle Sounders 1–1 CF Montreal.
Seattle's strength gap makes this one-sided — We give Seattle Sounders 72% mainly because they sit 181 points higher on our strength rating, 1507 to 1326, and home sides in Major League Soccer tend to do better than the global norm. The draw sits at 19%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged slightly lower because both teams' recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Seattle Sounders at 72%?
Seattle Sounders sit 181 points higher on our strength rating — 1507 to 1326. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,583 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,237 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 61–23–16.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 72% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and CF Montreal at 9%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Paul Rothrock, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Out: Prince-Osei Owusu, a star player, Brayan Ceballos, a rotation player, and Thomas Gillier, on a provisional rating. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Seattle Sounders 1–1 CF Montreal. Explore more on the Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
