Sporting Kansas City vs 18.10.26 00:301 – 3Full Time
Real Salt Lake — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Real Salt Lake beat Sporting Kansas City 3-1 at Children's Mercy Park
Real Salt Lake won 3-1 away to Sporting Kansas City on Major League Soccer's Matchday 30 at Children's Mercy Park, a result that lifted them from 23rd to 17th. The hosts, already bottom of the table before kick-off, stayed 30th on 22 points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors took control inside 14 minutes. Morgan Guilavogui opened the scoring in the 11th minute from a Noel Caliskan assist, and Caliskan set up S. Solans for a second three minutes later. Sporting Kansas City responded in the 26th minute, when Taylor Calheira scored from an André Luiz assist to make it 2-1, and that was how the first half ended.
The second half was quieter until the 61st minute, when Guilavogui added his second, again set up by Caliskan, to restore the two-goal lead. Real Salt Lake finished with 13 shots to 8, and eight of theirs were on target, compared with three for the hosts. Sporting Kansas City could not find a second goal.
Sporting Kansas City are next at home to Austin in Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake host St. Louis City in the same competition.
Morgan Guilavogui scored twice, in the 11th and 61st minutes, and was the top-rated performer at 8.97. Noel Caliskan provided the assist for all three of the visitors' goals.
Real Salt Lake put eight of their 13 shots on target, against three from eight for Sporting Kansas City.
Real Salt Lake won 3–1 away against Sporting Kansas City (half-time 1–2).
Sporting Kansas City met Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Children's Mercy Park. Referee: Alexis Da Silva. Attendance: 13,873.
Team pages: Sporting Kansas City · Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Morgan Guilavogui (assist: Noel Caliskan) — 0–1
- 14' Goal: S. Solans (assist: Noel Caliskan) — 0–2
- 26' Goal: Taylor Calheira (assist: André Luiz) — 1–2
- 61' Goal: Morgan Guilavogui (assist: Noel Caliskan) — 1–3
Starting line-ups
Sporting Kansas City (4-4-2)
Real Salt Lake (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sporting Kansas City 36%, the draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 40%. It finished Sporting Kansas City 1–3 Real Salt Lake.
Real Salt Lake edge it on strength, home pull limits it — Real Salt Lake sit 100 points higher on our strength rating, 1424 to 1324, which gives them a slight lean at 40% to 36%, though strong home advantage across Major League Soccer pulls back towards Sporting Kansas City. The draw starts from the usual 28% for a gap this size and falls to 24%, mainly because both sides' recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Real Salt Lake at 40%?
Real Salt Lake sit 100 points higher on our strength rating — 1424 to 1324. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,846 such games. Real Salt Lake sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,529 such games where the class table expected 35.9%. The 300 most similar past games finished 38–23–39.
Why only 40%?
Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,237 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Real Salt Lake have shed 66 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,610 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. In our recorded league results, Real Salt Lake are winless in their last 12 away games: 3 draws and 9 defeats. The run began on 22 March 2026. Last recorded away league win: 8 March 2026 — Atlanta United FC 2–3 Real Salt Lake. Latest recorded away league result: 10 October 2026 — Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake. Across 13,760 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 25.7%, compared with 25.0% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sporting Kansas City 1–3 Real Salt Lake. Explore more on the Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake team pages or the Major League Soccer page.