New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 7′New York Red Bulls, own goal:1–0Own goal
- Half-time1 – 0
- 56′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 64′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 66′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 66′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 73′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 74′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 76′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 76′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 80′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:
- 85′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 85′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 90+1′New York Red Bulls, goal:2–0assist
- 90+4′Inter Miami, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 0
Videos
Player Ratings
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
Match report
New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami — the facts
New York Red Bulls beat Inter Miami 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
New York Red Bulls met Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Referee: Filip Dujic. Attendance: 26,287.
Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Inter Miami · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 7' Goal (own goal): Casemiro — 1–0
- 90+1' Goal: Emil Forsberg (assist: Cameron Harper) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)
Inter Miami (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York Red Bulls 27%, the draw 23%, Inter Miami 50%. It finished New York Red Bulls 2–0 Inter Miami.
Inter Miami's strength rating edge sets the lean — We give Inter Miami 50% mainly because our strength rating puts them 220 points higher, 1617 to 1398, though strong home advantage across Major League Soccer pulls some of that back towards New York Red Bulls. The draw sits at 23%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged slightly lower because both teams' own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Inter Miami at 50%?
Inter Miami sit 220 points higher on our strength rating — 1617 to 1398. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.4% of 7,179 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 22–23–55.
Why only 50%?
Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,253 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,159.
What did we measure but not count?
Inter Miami have averaged 5 percentage points more possession than New York Red Bulls in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Inter Miami won 4 of the last 6 meetings with New York Red Bulls. The record is 4 wins for Inter Miami, 1 draw and 1 win for New York Red Bulls. These were 6 Major League Soccer games played between 26 August 2023 and 11 April 2026. Latest meeting: 11 April 2026 — Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls. In 6,072 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from New York Red Bulls 2–0 Inter Miami. Explore more on the New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami team pages or the Major League Soccer page.