Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 21′Colorado Rapids, yellow card:
- 26′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- Half-time
- 46′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 62′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 68′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 74′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 81′Colorado Rapids, goal:1–0assist
- 87′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 87′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 87′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 87′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 90+4′Colorado Rapids, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
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Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps
Match report
Colorado Rapids edge Vancouver Whitecaps with late Whittaker goal
Colorado Rapids beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park in Major League Soccer on Matchday 31, Morgan Whittaker's 81st-minute goal separating the sides after a goalless first half. The result ended a run of six games without a win for the hosts.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Colorado carried the greater threat throughout, finishing with 18 shots to 8 and putting eight of them on target against Vancouver's two. Possession was close to even, at 51 per cent for the home side and 49 per cent for the visitors, but the hosts' territory produced the clearer openings.
The decisive moment arrived nine minutes from the end, when D. Phillip set up Whittaker to make it 1-0. Vancouver, who went into the evening third in the table, found no reply, and the three points lifted Colorado from 17th to 13th, with 42 points from 31 games against the Whitecaps' 55.
Colorado travel to San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer next, while Vancouver return home to face San Diego in the same competition.
Morgan Whittaker scored the only goal of the match and was rated 7.70. Rob Holding, rated 7.73 for Colorado, and Vancouver's Yohei Takaoka, rated 7.76, were both marginally higher on the performer list.
Colorado's eight shots on target to Vancouver's two reflected how one-sided the contest was in terms of chances created.
Colorado Rapids beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Colorado Rapids met Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Referee: Jair Marrufo. Attendance: 15,605.
Team pages: Colorado Rapids · Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 81' Goal: Morgan Whittaker (assist: D. Phillip) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Colorado Rapids (4-1-4-1)
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Colorado Rapids 40%, the draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 34%. It finished Colorado Rapids 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Home edge outweighs Vancouver's stronger rating — Our strength rating has Vancouver Whitecaps 156 points higher, but Colorado Rapids lead at 40% to 34% thanks to the usual home advantage, boosted because home sides in Major League Soccer do better than the global norm. The draw sits at 26%, down from a usual 28% because a finishing streak and a typical scoring level both trim it slightly.
Why Colorado Rapids at 40%?
Home ground, against the rating. Vancouver Whitecaps sit 156 points higher on our strength rating — 1587 to 1431. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,788 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,253 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Colorado Rapids sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,932 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why only 40%?
Because Vancouver Whitecaps are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 26% and Vancouver Whitecaps at 34%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,159. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Vancouver Whitecaps scored +0.35 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,154 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Colorado Rapids are unbeaten in their last 9 home Major League Soccer games: 6 wins and 3 draws. The run began on 23 July 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 24 May 2026 — Colorado Rapids 1–2 FC Dallas. Latest home league result: 15 October 2026 — Colorado Rapids 2–2 Minnesota United FC. Across 16,094 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Colorado Rapids 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps. Explore more on the Colorado Rapids and Vancouver Whitecaps team pages or the Major League Soccer page.