Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 45+3′New England Revolution, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 61′Philadelphia Union, yellow card:
- 63′Philadelphia Union, yellow card:
- 65′New England Revolution, yellow card:
- 68′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 76′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 82′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 86′New England Revolution, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 90+1′New England Revolution, penalty goal:0–2Penalty
- 90+2′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 90+2′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 90+7′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 90+7′New England Revolution, substitution:off
- 90+12′Philadelphia Union, goal:1–2assist
- Full-time1 – 2
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Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Match report
New England Revolution beat Philadelphia Union 2-1 to end home side's unbeaten run
New England Revolution won 2-1 at Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer on Matchday 31, ending the home side's run of 12 games unbeaten. A stoppage-time goal from Neil Pierre arrived far too late to rescue a point for the hosts at Talen Energy Stadium.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors took the lead on the stroke of half-time. Dor Turgeman scored in the 45+3 minute after a pass from Peyton Miller, and New England went into the interval 1-0 ahead despite Philadelphia having more of the ball over the match, with 53% possession to 47%.
Carles Gil doubled the advantage from the penalty spot in the 90+1 minute to make it 2-0. Philadelphia refused to settle and pulled a goal back in the 90+12 minute, when Pierre scored from a Kai Wagner assist, but the visitors held on for the win.
The result lifted New England from fourth to second in the table, on 55 points from 31 games, while Philadelphia stayed 11th on 46. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given New England Revolution a 14% chance of winning. Philadelphia travel to Nashville SC next, while New England host the New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer on Wednesday.
Carles Gil scored the penalty that made it 2-0 and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 8.37. Andre Blake, the Philadelphia goalkeeper, was the best-rated player on the home side at 7.68.
Philadelphia had 12 shots to New England's 7, yet the visitors put more on target, four to three.
New England Revolution won 2–1 away against Philadelphia Union (half-time 0–1).
Philadelphia Union met New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Subaru Park. Referee: Malik Badawi. Attendance: 18,524.
Team pages: Philadelphia Union · New England Revolution · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 45+3' Goal: Dor Turgeman (assist: Peyton Miller) — 0–1
- 90+1' Goal (penalty): Carles Gil — 0–2
- 90+12' Goal: Neil Pierre (assist: Kai Wagner) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
New England Revolution (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Philadelphia Union 63%, the draw 23%, New England Revolution 14%. It finished Philadelphia Union 1–2 New England Revolution.
Philadelphia Union's strength edge sets a clear lead — We give Philadelphia Union 63% mainly because they sit 116 points higher on our strength rating, 1592 to 1475, and home sides in Major League Soccer tend to do better than the global norm. The draw starts at 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 23% because both teams' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why Philadelphia Union at 63%?
Philadelphia Union sit 116 points higher on our strength rating — 1592 to 1475. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,325 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,253 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 57–23–20.
Why only 63%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 63% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and New England Revolution at 14%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Philadelphia Union scored +0.76 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,154 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Philadelphia Union have gained 122 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,927 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Philadelphia Union 1–2 New England Revolution. Explore more on the Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution team pages or the Major League Soccer page.