FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 28′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 64′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 65′FC Dallas, substitution:off
- 77′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 77′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 77′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 77′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 78′FC Dallas, substitution:off
- 78′FC Dallas, substitution:off
- 82′FC Dallas, goal:1–0assist
- 88′FC Dallas, penalty goal:2–0Penalty
- 89′FC Dallas, substitution:off
- 90′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 90+4′FC Dallas, goal:3–0assist
- Full-time3 – 0
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FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
Match report
FC Dallas beat San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 with late goals
FC Dallas beat San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 in Major League Soccer on Matchday 31, scoring all three goals in the final stretch of the match at Toyota Stadium(Texas). The two sides went in goalless at half-time, and it was not until the 82nd minute that the breakthrough arrived.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Petar Musa broke the deadlock in the 82nd minute, converting after Bernard Kamungo set him up to make it 1-0. Six minutes later, in the 88th minute, Musa added a second from the penalty spot to put the result beyond doubt.
Santiago Moreno completed the scoring in the 90+4 minute, finishing from Ramiro's assist for 3-0. Dallas had 15 shots to four and put six on target to San Jose's one. The result ended San Jose Earthquakes's run of 9 games unbeaten.
The win lifted Dallas from seventh to fifth, on 54 points, while San Jose stayed eighth on 48. Dallas host Columbus Crew next in Major League Soccer, and San Jose entertain Colorado Rapids in the same competition.
Petar Musa scored twice, the second from the penalty spot, and was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 8.49.
Dallas had 15 shots to San Jose Earthquakes's four.
FC Dallas beat San Jose Earthquakes 3–0 (half-time 0–0).
FC Dallas met San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Toyota Stadium. Referee: Rubiel Vazquez. Attendance: 10,925.
Team pages: FC Dallas · San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 82' Goal: Petar Musa (assist: Bernard Kamungo) — 1–0
- 88' Goal (penalty): Petar Musa — 2–0
- 90+4' Goal: Santiago Moreno (assist: Ramiro) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
FC Dallas (3-4-2-1)
San Jose Earthquakes (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Dallas 53%, the draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%. It finished FC Dallas 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes.
Strong home edge puts FC Dallas slightly ahead — We give FC Dallas 53% mainly because home sides in Major League Soccer do better than the global norm, and our strength rating also has them a shade stronger, though San Jose Earthquakes' greater share of the ball pulls a little the other way. The draw sits at 25%, just below the usual 27% for a gap this size, as both teams' recent games average 3.1 goals.
Why FC Dallas at 53%?
FC Dallas sit 67 points higher on our strength rating — 1555 to 1488. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,069 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,253 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 53%?
San Jose Earthquakes hold 6 more possession points (50 to 44 in recent games) across a 67-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,292 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. FC Dallas scored +0.33 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.7% of 1,643 games, vs 27.8% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Preston Judd, an important player. Doubtful: Benji Kikanović, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. San Jose Earthquakes played 3 competitive matches between 11–18 October 2026 (UTC dates). FC Dallas played 2 matches in the same 14-day window before kickoff. The busier schedule is worth watching.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Dallas 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes. Explore more on the FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes team pages or the Major League Soccer page.