DC United vs FC Cincinnati — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 24′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:
- 34′DC United, yellow card:
- 34′DC United, substitution:off
- 35′FC Cincinnati, goal:0–1assist
- 38′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 52′FC Cincinnati, goal:0–2assist
- 59′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 59′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 59′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 65′DC United, substitution:off
- 65′DC United, substitution:off
- 75′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 85′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 2
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DC United
FC Cincinnati
Match report
FC Cincinnati beat DC United 2-0 at Audi Field
FC Cincinnati won 2-0 away to DC United in Major League Soccer on Matchday 31, a result that lifted them from 18th to 15th in the table. DC United stayed 26th on 33 points, nine behind their visitors after a match played at Audi Field.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The game was goalless until the 35th minute, when Pavel Bucha supplied the pass for Evander to put Cincinnati in front. That goal stood as the only one of the first half, and the visitors went into the interval 1-0 ahead.
Seven minutes into the second half, Evander turned provider, setting up Tom Barlow for the second in the 52nd minute. DC United, who had more of the ball with 57 per cent possession and won eight corners to Cincinnati's three, found no way back, and no further goals followed.
The defeat was DC United's third in a row. Cincinnati travel to Inter Miami in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, while DC United are away to Toronto FC on the same day.
Evander scored the opening goal and created the second for Tom Barlow, earning a rating of 8.47, the highest of any player on the pitch.
DC United had 57 per cent of the possession but trailed throughout, with just two of their eight shots on target.
FC Cincinnati won 2–0 away against DC United (half-time 0–1).
DC United met FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Audi Field. Referee: Jon Freemon. Attendance: 16,046.
Team pages: DC United · FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 35' Goal: Evander (assist: Pavel Bucha) — 0–1
- 52' Goal: Tom Barlow (assist: Evander) — 0–2
Starting line-ups
DC United (4-4-2)
FC Cincinnati (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave DC United 39%, the draw 23%, FC Cincinnati 38%. It finished DC United 0–2 FC Cincinnati.
Home edge offsets Cincinnati's stronger rating — FC Cincinnati sit 103 points higher on our strength rating, but DC United's home advantage, which runs strong for home sides across Major League Soccer, edges them to 39% against 38%. The draw starts near 28% for a gap this size and drops to 23%, mainly because both sides' recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why DC United at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. FC Cincinnati sit 103 points higher on our strength rating — 1466 to 1363. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,788 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,253 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. DC United sit -0.60 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,932 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why only 39%?
Because FC Cincinnati are the stronger side on our strength rating. FC Cincinnati sit -0.45 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,932 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Cincinnati have averaged 17 percentage points more possession than DC United in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. FC Cincinnati have shed 80 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,359 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the DC United vs FC Cincinnati final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from DC United 0–2 FC Cincinnati. Explore more on the DC United and FC Cincinnati team pages or the Major League Soccer page.