San Diego vs Seattle Sounders — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 46′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 50′Seattle Sounders, goal:0–1assist
- 53′Seattle Sounders, yellow card:
- 55′Seattle Sounders, goal:0–2assist
- 58′San Diego, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 59′Seattle Sounders, yellow card:
- 60′San Diego, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 60′San Diego, goal:1–2
- 61′San Diego, substitution:off
- 61′San Diego, substitution:off
- 61′San Diego, substitution:off
- 64′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 68′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 72′San Diego, substitution:off
- 80′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 80′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 82′San Diego, substitution:off
- 90+6′San Diego, penalty goal:2–2Penalty
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
Match report
San Diego vs Seattle Sounders — the facts
San Diego and Seattle Sounders drew 2–2 (half-time 0–0).
San Diego met Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC at Snapdragon Stadium. Referee: Allen Chapman. Attendance: 21,954.
Team pages: San Diego · Seattle Sounders · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 50' Goal: Dejan Joveljić (assist: Cristian Roldan) — 0–1
- 55' Goal: Sebastian Gomez (assist: Hassani Dotson) — 0–2
- 60' Goal: Anders Dreyer — 1–2
- 90+6' Goal (penalty): Cédric Bakambu — 2–2
Starting line-ups
San Diego (4-4-2)
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave San Diego 48%, the draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 27%. It finished San Diego 2–2 Seattle Sounders.
Strong home advantage in Major League Soccer edges San Diego — We give San Diego 48% mainly because home sides in Major League Soccer do better than the global norm, while our strength rating leans very slightly towards Seattle Sounders, 1497 to 1465. The draw sits at 25%, down from a usual 27% for sides this level, because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why San Diego in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1465 to 1497. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,607 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,253 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 25% and Seattle Sounders at 27%.
Why the draw at 25%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Doubtful: Paul Rothrock, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Last five: San Diego D-D-L-D-D, Seattle Sounders W-W-W-L-D — Seattle Sounders are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2023 games when clearly hotter and 43.9% of 3918 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the San Diego vs Seattle Sounders final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from San Diego 2–2 Seattle Sounders. Explore more on the San Diego and Seattle Sounders team pages or the Major League Soccer page.