Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 3′St. Louis City, yellow card:
- 29′St. Louis City, yellow card:
- 40′Real Salt Lake, yellow card:
- 41′Real Salt Lake, goal:1–0assist
- 43′St. Louis City, second yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 46′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 52′Real Salt Lake, goal:2–0assist
- 59′Real Salt Lake, goal:3–0assist
- 60′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 64′Real Salt Lake, yellow card:
- 67′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 67′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 68′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 71′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 71′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 80′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 84′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
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Assists
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Player Ratings
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
Match report
Real Salt Lake beat ten-man St. Louis City 3-0 at Rio Tinto Stadium
Real Salt Lake won 3-0 at Rio Tinto Stadium in Major League Soccer on Matchday 31, a result that lifted them from 20th to 18th in the table. S. Solans scored twice, with Dominik Marczuk adding the other, as St. Louis City were reduced to ten men before the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The opening goal arrived in the 41st minute, when S. Solans finished from Morgan Guilavogui's assist to make it 1-0. Two minutes later the match turned decisively, as Tomáš Ostrák was sent off for St. Louis City, leaving the visitors a man short for the remainder of the contest.
Real Salt Lake took full advantage after the restart. Marczuk made it 2-0 in the 52nd minute from Luc De Fougerolles's assist, and Solans completed the scoring in the 59th, set up by Saba Lobzhanidze. From the sending-off onwards, St. Louis City scored none and conceded two.
The hosts controlled the game, with 20 shots to three and 60 per cent of possession, while St. Louis City, seventh in the table before and after the game, managed only two efforts on target. Real Salt Lake travel to Austin next in Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City host Portland Timbers in the same competition.
S. Solans scored twice, in the 41st and 59th minutes, and was the top-rated performer with 8.61. Morgan Guilavogui provided the assist for the opening goal.
Real Salt Lake had 20 shots to St. Louis City's three.
Real Salt Lake beat St. Louis City 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Real Salt Lake met St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at America First Field. Referee: Drew Fischer. Attendance: 20,614.
Team pages: Real Salt Lake · St. Louis City · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 41' Goal: S. Solans (assist: Morgan Guilavogui) — 1–0
- 52' Goal: Dominik Marczuk (assist: Luc De Fougerolles) — 2–0
- 59' Goal: S. Solans (assist: Saba Lobzhanidze) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Real Salt Lake (5-3-2)
St. Louis City (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Real Salt Lake 38%, the draw 25%, St. Louis City 37%. It finished Real Salt Lake 3–0 St. Louis City.
Home advantage edges a stronger St. Louis City — St. Louis City sit 150 points higher on our strength rating, but Real Salt Lake's usual home advantage, boosted by how strongly home sides perform in Major League Soccer, nudges us to 38% for them against 37%. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for this gap, and drops to 25% because both teams' recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Real Salt Lake at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. St. Louis City sit 150 points higher on our strength rating — 1590 to 1440. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,788 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,253 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because St. Louis City are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 25% and St. Louis City at 37%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Louis City have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Real Salt Lake in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. St. Louis City scored +0.85 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,154 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Real Salt Lake 3–0 St. Louis City. Explore more on the Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City team pages or the Major League Soccer page.