Chelsea vs Manchester United — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsManchester UnitedYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow5 clips- 34′Manchester United, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- Half-time
- 50′Chelsea, goal:1–0assist
- 58′Manchester United, substitution:off
- 59′Manchester United, yellow card:
- 61′Chelsea, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 63′Manchester United, second yellow card:
- 64′Chelsea, penalty goal:2–0Penalty
- 65′Manchester United, yellow card:
- 66′Manchester United, substitution:off
- 66′Manchester United, substitution:off
- 70′Manchester United, yellow card:
- 71′Chelsea, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 74′Chelsea, substitution:off
- 77′Manchester United, substitution:off
- 81′Manchester United, yellow card:
- 86′Manchester United, yellow card:
- 87′Chelsea, substitution:off
- 87′Chelsea, substitution:off
- 87′Chelsea, substitution:off
- 90+3′Chelsea, yellow card:
- 90+7′Chelsea, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
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Chelsea
Manchester United
Match report
Chelsea beat ten-man Manchester United 2-0 at Stamford Bridge
Chelsea beat Manchester United 2-0 at Stamford Bridge in Matchweek 9 of the Premier League, a result that lifted them from fifth to fourth in the table on 16 points. The home side were level at half-time and broke the deadlock five minutes into the second half, when Roméo Lavia supplied the pass for Morgan Rogers to score in the 50th minute.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The contest turned decisively in the 63rd minute, when Manchester United's Lisandro Martínez was sent off. Chelsea were awarded a penalty a minute later and Cole Palmer converted it in the 64th minute to make it 2-0. From the red card onwards, United scored none and conceded one, and they never found a route back into the game.
Chelsea controlled the match with 59% of possession and 18 shots to 12, nine of them on target against five. United, down to ten men for the final half-hour, picked up six yellow cards and committed 20 fouls to Chelsea's eight, and the defeat left them 16th with seven points.
It was United's third loss in a row, and they are now without a win in nine games. They return to action at home to AS Roma in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, while Chelsea travel to Sunderland in the Premier League on Sunday.
Josh Acheampong earned the highest rating in the match at 8.17 as part of a Chelsea side that kept United from scoring. Palmer's 64th-minute penalty and Lavia's assist for the opener also earned both ratings above 8.
Chelsea had nine shots on target to Manchester United's five.
Chelsea beat Manchester United 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Chelsea met Manchester United in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC at Stamford Bridge. Referee: Peter Bankes. Attendance: 39,503.
Team pages: Chelsea · Manchester United · Premier League
Key moments
- 50' Goal: Morgan Rogers (assist: Roméo Lavia) — 1–0 · Watch Morgan Rogers's goal video (50')
- 64' Goal (penalty): Cole Palmer — 2–0 · Watch Cole Palmer's goal video (64')
Starting line-ups
Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Manchester United (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Chelsea 42%, the draw 26%, Manchester United 32%. It finished Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United.
Home advantage edges Chelsea in, finishing pulls back — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Chelsea's home advantage gives them the edge at 42%, though both finishing streaks pull towards Manchester United, whose cold spell in front of goal tends to bounce back while Chelsea's hot one tends to cool. The draw sits at 26%, just under the usual 27.5% for evenly matched sides, mainly because both teams' recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why Chelsea in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1798 to 1770. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,561 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Manchester United sit -0.37 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.1% of 1,669 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. Chelsea scored +0.43 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.6% of 1,663 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Manchester United have shed 83 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,402 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Chelsea come into this after a busy window — 12 arrivals, 17 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Chelsea vs Manchester United final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Morgan Rogers's goal against Manchester United (50').
- Watch Cole Palmer's goal against Manchester United (64').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United. Explore more on the Chelsea and Manchester United team pages or the Premier League page.