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Elche vs 15.09.26 19:302 – 3Full Time
Real Madrid — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Carlos Espí's stoppage-time winner spared Real Madrid a damaging slip at Elche. Their 3-2 victory, after surrendering a two-goal lead, takes them to 15 points from six games and a fifth league win before Sunday's derby.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data and the sources linked below.
Kylian Mbappé scored and supplied the winner for substitute Espí. Madrid had also benefited from a Matías Dituro own goal before Abiel Osorio and Fer Niño brought Elche level. Mourinho said Madrid's intensity had dropped and they had given Elche too much space.
For Elche, the frustration extends beyond this result. They remain winless with two points from six matches, and this was their third 3-2 defeat of the league campaign after losses to Racing Santander and Real Sociedad. Martín Anselmi praised the recovery but said Elche needed greater maturity once they had reached 2-2.
Real Madrid won 3–2 away against Elche (half-time 0–2).
Elche met Real Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Tuesday, 15 September 2026, 19:30 UTC at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano.
Team pages: Elche · Real Madrid · La Liga
Before kick-off Sirius gave Elche 16%, the draw 19%, Real Madrid 65%. It finished Elche 2–3 Real Madrid.
Real Madrid's rating gap outweighs Elche's home ground — Real Madrid are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Real Madrid a clear lead. The draw at 19% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Real Madrid sit 413 points higher on our strength rating — 1728 to 2141. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,254 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Elche's column. Across 11,163 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 17–18–65.
La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.2%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,131 games vs 44.9% across all 100,217 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,220. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
Real Madrid won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Elche. The record is 4 wins for Real Madrid, 2 draws and 0 wins for Elche. These were 1 Copa del Rey game and 5 La Liga games played at both grounds between 20 January 2022 and 14 March 2026. Latest meeting: 14 March 2026 — Real Madrid 4–1 Elche. In 5,639 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%. Last five: Elche D-L-L-L-D, Real Madrid W-W-L-W-W — Real Madrid are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2209 games when clearly hotter and 42.7% of 4037 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Elche vs Real Madrid final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Elche 2–3 Real Madrid. Explore more on the Elche and Real Madrid team pages or the La Liga page.
Real Madrid won 3–2 away against Elche (half-time 0–2).
Matías Dituro (25') (own goal) for Real Madrid; Kylian Mbappé (33') for Real Madrid; Abiel Osorio (71') for Elche; Fer Niño (83') for Elche; Carlos Espí (90') for Real Madrid.
Goal highlights and video clips from Elche 2–3 Real Madrid are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Elche and Real Madrid have met 10 times — 0 wins for Elche, 7 wins for Real Madrid and 3 draws.