Marseille vs 20.09.26 18:451 – 2Full Time
Paris Saint Germain — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow4 clips- 30′Marseille, substitution:off
- 32′Marseille, yellow card:Foul
- 39′Paris Saint Germain, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 59′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 63′Marseille, substitution:off
- 65′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 66′Paris Saint Germain, goal:0–1assist
- 72′Marseille, goal:1–1assist
- 74′Paris Saint Germain, goal:1–2
- 77′Marseille, red card:
- 79′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 79′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 81′Marseille, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Marseille, substitution:off
- 84′Marseille, substitution:off
- 84′Marseille, substitution:off
- 90′Marseille, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
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Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
Match report
Paris Saint Germain come from behind to beat ten-man Marseille
Paris Saint Germain won 2-1 at the Orange Vélodrome on Ligue 1 Matchday 5, leaving Marseille with a fifth consecutive defeat. The sides were level at 0-0 at half-time, and the visitors, who had 31 shots to the hosts' 12, took until the 66th minute to find a way through.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ferran Torres broke the deadlock at 66 minutes, converting a chance created by Désiré Doué to make it 0-1. Marseille responded within six minutes, Adilson Gomes equalising at 72 after Amine Gouiri set him up.
The lead was restored almost at once. Marquinhos scored at 74 minutes to make it 1-2, and three minutes later Marseille's Timothy Weah was sent off at 77. From then on neither side scored, and Paris Saint Germain saw out the closing stages against ten men.
The result lifted Paris Saint Germain from 10th to sixth, on 8 points, while Marseille stayed 17th on 3 points, five behind and 11 places below their opponents.
Ferran Torres scored the opening goal at 66 minutes and earned the highest rating of the match, 8.07. Nuno Mendes followed on 8.0, with Doué, who provided the assist for Torres, on 7.7.
Paris Saint Germain had 10 shots on target to Marseille's 4, reflecting how much of the match was played in the hosts' half.
Paris Saint Germain won 2–1 away against Marseille (half-time 0–0).
Marseille met Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Orange Vélodrome. Referee: Francois Letexier.
Team pages: Marseille · Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 66' Goal: Ferran Torres (assist: Désiré Doué) — 0–1 · Watch Ferran Torres's goal video (66')
- 72' Goal: Angel Gomes (assist: Amine Gouiri) — 1–1 · Watch Angel Gomes's goal video (72')
- 74' Goal: Marquinhos — 1–2 · Watch Marquinhos's goal video (74')
- 77' Red card: Timothy Weah
Starting line-ups
Marseille (4-4-2)
Paris Saint Germain (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Marseille 15%, the draw 26%, Paris Saint Germain 59%. It finished Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint Germain.
Paris Saint Germain's rating gap outweighs Marseille's home ground — Paris Saint Germain are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Paris Saint Germain a clear lead. The draw at 26% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Paris Saint Germain at 59%?
Paris Saint Germain sit 329 points higher on our strength rating — 1785 to 2114. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,260 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Marseille's column. Across 11,218 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 18–25–57.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Marseille at 15%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,162. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Paris Saint Germain have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than Marseille in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Marseille have shed 105 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,779 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ferran Torres's goal against Marseille (66').
- Watch Angel Gomes's goal against Paris Saint Germain (72').
- Watch Marquinhos's goal against Marseille (74').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint Germain. Explore more on the Marseille and Paris Saint Germain team pages or the Ligue 1 page.