HighlightsESPN NLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 9′Cambuur, goal:0–1assist
- 13′Cambuur, goal:0–2assist
- 18′Cambuur, own goal:0–3Own goal
- 19′Cambuur, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- 45+2′Willem II, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 3
- 46′Willem II, substitution:off
- 46′Willem II, substitution:off
- 46′Willem II, substitution:off
- 53′Willem II, yellow card:Foul
- 58′Cambuur, goal:0–4assist
- 62′Cambuur, goal:0–5
- 65′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 65′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 65′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 68′Willem II, substitution:off
- 72′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 77′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 82′Willem II, goal:1–5assist
- 89′Cambuur, goal:1–6assist
- Full-time1 – 6
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Willem II
Cambuur
Match report
Cambuur run riot to hand Willem II a sixth-goal beating
Cambuur won 6-1 at Willem II in Eredivisie matchday 10 at the Koning Willem II Stadion, a seven-goal match in which the visitors were three goals clear by the 18th minute. Nicolas Binder opened the scoring in the ninth minute from Morgan Costarelli's assist, and Costarelli supplied the pass again four minutes later for Ilyes Hamache to make it 2-0.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ismaël Baouf struck in the 18th minute, set up by Rafik El Arguioui, and Cambuur led 3-0 at half-time. The second half followed the same pattern. Binder claimed his second in the 58th minute from Hamache's pass, and El Arguioui added a fifth four minutes later.
Anass Zarrouk pulled one back for Willem II in the 82nd minute, converting Devin Haen's assist, but Jason Çeka restored the five-goal margin in the 89th minute from Wiebe Kooistra's pass. Willem II have now lost five games in a row and are without a win in 10 games, and they stayed 18th on two points. Cambuur climbed from 14th to 10th. Both sides play away in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday, Cambuur at Kloetinge and Willem II at Helmond Sport.
Nicolas Binder scored twice, in the ninth and 58th minutes, and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.98. Rafik El Arguioui contributed a goal and an assist.
Cambuur put 11 of their 19 shots on target, while Willem II managed two on target from their 11 attempts.
Cambuur won 6–1 away against Willem II (half-time 0–3).
Willem II met Cambuur in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Koning Willem II Stadion. Referee: Dennis Higler.
Team pages: Willem II · Cambuur · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Nicolas Binder (assist: Morgan Costarelli) — 0–1 · Watch Nicolas Binder's goal video (9')
- 13' Goal: Ilyes Hamache (assist: Morgan Costarelli) — 0–2 · Watch Ilyes Hamache's goal video (13')
- 18' Goal (own goal): Nathan Tjoe-A-On — 0–3
- 58' Goal: Nicolas Binder (assist: Ilyes Hamache) — 0–4
- 62' Goal: Rafik El Arguioui — 0–5
- 82' Goal: Anass Zarrouk (assist: Devin Haen) — 1–5
- 89' Goal: Jason Çeka (assist: Wiebe Kooistra) — 1–6
Starting line-ups
Willem II (4-2-3-1)
Cambuur (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Willem II 37%, the draw 27%, Cambuur 36%. It finished Willem II 1–6 Cambuur.
Cambuur's stronger rating offset by Willem II's home advantage — Cambuur sit 77 points higher on our strength rating and usually see more of the ball, but Willem II's home advantage pulls the other way, leaving 37% against 36% and too close to separate. The draw starts at 29% for a gap this size, and the high-scoring recent games of both sides bring it down to 27%.
Why Willem II at 37%?
Home ground, against the rating. Cambuur sit 77 points higher on our strength rating — 1396 to 1319. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 11,084 such games.
Why only 37%?
Because Cambuur are the stronger side on our strength rating. Cambuur hold 7 more possession points (47 to 40 in recent games) across a 77-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,292 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Willem II sit -0.35 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Cambuur are newly promoted — game 10 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Willem II vs Cambuur final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Nicolas Binder's goal against Willem II (9').
- Watch Ilyes Hamache's goal against Willem II (13').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Willem II 1–6 Cambuur. Explore more on the Willem II and Cambuur team pages or the Eredivisie page.

