Match report
Millwall vs Wrexham — the facts
Wrexham won 3–0 away against Millwall (half-time 0–1).
Millwall met Wrexham in the Championship (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Wednesday, 2 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at The Den. Referee: Oliver Langford.
Team pages: Millwall · Wrexham · Championship
Key moments
- 28' Goal (own goal): Zak Norton Sturge — 0–1 · Watch Zak Norton Sturge's goal video (28')
- 52' Goal: Kieffer Moore (assist: Joshua Windass) — 0–2 · Watch Kieffer Moore's goal video (52')
- 69' Goal: Jacques Ekomié (assist: Daniel Edward Peter Imray) — 0–3 · Watch Jacques Ekomié's goal video (69')
Starting line-ups
Millwall (3-1-4-2)
Wrexham (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Millwall 47%, the draw 33%, Wrexham 20%. It finished Millwall 0–3 Wrexham.
Millwall's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Millwall are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Millwall the lean. The draw at 33% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Millwall at 47%?
Millwall sit 76 points higher on our strength rating — 1587 to 1511. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,410 such games. Millwall hold 6 more possession points (57 to 51 in recent games) across a 76-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,645 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 47%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Millwall's column. Across 10,884 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,399 games vs 44.9% across all 99,663 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Wrexham win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,723. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Millwall are missing 2 regular starters — Oluwafemi Azeez, Ryan Leonard — about 22% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Wrexham are missing 2 regular starters — George Thomason, Oliver Rathbone — about 32% of their usual starting-XI weight. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Millwall vs Wrexham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Zak Norton Sturge's own goal video (28').
- Watch Kieffer Moore's goal against Millwall (52').
- Watch Jacques Ekomié's goal against Millwall (69').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Millwall 0–3 Wrexham. Explore more on the Millwall and Wrexham team pages or the Championship page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Millwall vs Wrexham?
Wrexham won 3–0 away against Millwall (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Millwall vs Wrexham?
Zak Norton Sturge (28') (own goal) for Wrexham; Kieffer Moore (52') for Wrexham; Jacques Ekomié (69') for Wrexham.
›Where can I watch Millwall vs Wrexham highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Millwall 0–3 Wrexham are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Wrexham?
Millwall and Wrexham have met 2 times — 1 win for Millwall, 1 win for Wrexham and 0 draws.