Preston vs Bristol City — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBristol CityYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- 4′Bristol City, goal:0–1assist
- 9′Preston, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 51′Preston, goal:1–1
- 59′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 59′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 59′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 66′Preston, substitution:off
- 67′Preston, substitution:off
- 69′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 79′Bristol City, goal:1–2assist
- 82′Preston, substitution:off
- 83′Preston, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 86′Bristol City, goal:1–3
- 90′Preston, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Preston
Bristol City
Match report
Preston vs Bristol City — the facts
Bristol City won 3–1 away against Preston (half-time 0–1).
Preston met Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 1 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Deepdale. Referee: Rueben Ricardo.
Team pages: Preston · Bristol City · Championship
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Scott Twine (assist: Lorent Tolaj) — 0–1 · Watch Scott Twine's goal video (4')
- 51' Goal: Caleb Wiley — 1–1 · Watch Caleb Wiley's goal video (51')
- 79' Goal: Lisav Eissat (assist: Rio Cardines) — 1–2 · Watch Lisav Eissat's goal video (79')
- 86' Goal: Dom Ballard — 1–3 · Watch Dom Ballard's goal video (86')
Starting line-ups
Preston (3-4-2-1)
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Sam Tickle
- 21 Rio Cardines
- 2 Lisav Eissat
- 16 Robert Dickie
- 38 Noah Eile
- 4 Adam Randell
- 12 Jason Knight (c)
- 20 Sam Greenwood
- 10 Scott Twine
- 7 Yu Hirakawa
- 9 Lorent Tolaj
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Preston 35%, the draw 32%, Bristol City 33%. It finished Preston 1–3 Bristol City.
Home ground outweighs Bristol City's rating edge — Bristol City are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives Preston the lean. The draw at 32% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Preston at 35%?
Home ground, against the rating. Bristol City sit 91 points higher on our strength rating — 1362 to 1453. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,573 such games.
Why only 35%?
Because Bristol City are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Preston's column. Across 10,876 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,391 games vs 44.9% across all 99,641 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 32%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,942. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bristol City have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Bristol City are missing 2 regular starters — Cameron Pring, Adam Randell — about 22% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Preston vs Bristol City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Scott Twine's goal against Preston (4').
- Watch Caleb Wiley's goal against Bristol City (51').
- Watch Lisav Eissat's goal against Preston (79').
- Watch Dom Ballard's goal against Preston (86').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Preston 1–3 Bristol City. Explore more on the Preston and Bristol City team pages or the Championship page.