Portsmouth vs 01.09.26 18:450 – 2Full Time
Derby — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Portsmouth vs Derby — the facts
Derby won 2–0 away against Portsmouth (half-time 0–1).
Portsmouth met Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 1 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Fratton Park. Referee: Sam Allison.
Team pages: Portsmouth · Derby · Championship
Key moments
- 16' Goal: Samuel Szmodics (assist: Bobby Clark) — 0–1 · Watch Samuel Szmodics's goal video (16')
- 62' Goal: Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (assist: Oscar Fraulo) — 0–2 · Watch Lars-Jørgen Salvesen's goal video (62')
Starting line-ups
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
Derby (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Portsmouth 39%, the draw 30%, Derby 31%. It finished Portsmouth 0–2 Derby.
Level sides, home ground swings it, even this early in the season — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Portsmouth's 39% is home ground and little else. The draw at 30% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Portsmouth in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1431 to 1441. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,864 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%).
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Portsmouth's column. Across 10,876 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,391 games vs 44.9% across all 99,641 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 30%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,942. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Portsmouth have gained 64 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,282 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Derby are missing 2 regular starters — Matthew Clarke, Samuel Szmodics — about 20% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Portsmouth vs Derby final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Samuel Szmodics's goal against Portsmouth (16').
- Watch Lars-Jørgen Salvesen's goal against Portsmouth (62').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Portsmouth 0–2 Derby. Explore more on the Portsmouth and Derby team pages or the Championship page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Derby?
Derby won 2–0 away against Portsmouth (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Portsmouth vs Derby?
Samuel Szmodics (16') for Derby; Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (62') for Derby.
›Where can I watch Portsmouth vs Derby highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Portsmouth 0–2 Derby are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Derby?
Portsmouth and Derby have met 7 times — 1 win for Portsmouth, 4 wins for Derby and 2 draws.