HighlightsMillwall FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 18′Millwall, yellow card:Foul
- 28′Wrexham, own goal:0–1Own goal
- 36′Wrexham, yellow card:Foul
- 43′Millwall, substitution:off
- Half-time0 – 1
- 52′Wrexham, goal:0–2assist
- 56′Millwall, yellow card:Foul
- 63′Millwall, substitution:off
- 64′Millwall, substitution:off
- 67′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 67′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 69′Wrexham, goal:0–3assist
- 73′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 74′Millwall, substitution:off
- 74′Millwall, substitution:off
- 76′Wrexham, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 3
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Millwall
Wrexham
Match report
Millwall vs Wrexham — the facts
Wrexham won 3–0 away against Millwall (half-time 0–1).
Millwall met Wrexham in the Championship (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Wednesday, 2 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at The Den. Referee: Oliver Langford.
Team pages: Millwall · Wrexham · Championship
Key moments
- 28' Goal (own goal): Zak Sturge — 0–1 · Watch Zak Sturge's goal video (28')
- 52' Goal: Kieffer Moore (assist: Josh Windass) — 0–2 · Watch Kieffer Moore's goal video (52')
- 69' Goal: Jacques Ekomié (assist: Danny Imray) — 0–3 · Watch Jacques Ekomié's goal video (69')
Starting line-ups
Millwall (3-1-4-2)
- 15 Max Crocombe
- 12 Elkan Baggott
- 5 Jake Cooper (c)
- 6 Caleb Taylor
- 24 Casper De Norre
- 3 Zak Sturge
- 14 Jenson Metcalfe
- 16 Daniel Kelly
- 17 Mark Sykes
- 13 Lyndon Dykes
- 19 Josh Coburn
Wrexham (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Millwall 47%, the draw 33%, Wrexham 20%. It finished Millwall 0–3 Wrexham.
Millwall's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Millwall are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Millwall the lean. The draw at 33% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Millwall at 47%?
Millwall sit 76 points higher on our strength rating — 1587 to 1511. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,410 such games. Millwall hold 6 more possession points (57 to 51 in recent games) across a 76-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,645 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 47%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Millwall's column. Across 10,884 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,399 games vs 44.9% across all 99,663 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Wrexham win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,723. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Millwall are missing 2 regular starters — Oluwafemi Azeez, Ryan Leonard — about 22% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Wrexham are missing 2 regular starters — George Thomason, Oliver Rathbone — about 32% of their usual starting-XI weight. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Millwall vs Wrexham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Zak Sturge's own goal video (28').
- Watch Kieffer Moore's goal against Millwall (52').
- Watch Jacques Ekomié's goal against Millwall (69').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Millwall 0–3 Wrexham. Explore more on the Millwall and Wrexham team pages or the Championship page.