Match report
Grenoble hold out at Rodez despite being outplayed
Rodez suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Grenoble in a Ligue 2 round six fixture at Stade Paul-Lignon, leaving both sides level on points but with the visitors edging the head-to-head result. The goal that separated the teams arrived early and proved decisive across the remaining hour and a half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Matthéo Xantippe struck in the 11th minute, converting after an assist from Baptiste Mouazan to put Grenoble 1-0 ahead, a scoreline that held firm through half-time and beyond. Despite dominating territory for long stretches, Rodez could not find a way past Grenoble's rearguard, and the away side's slender advantage stood until the final whistle.
The home side monopolised possession and territory, finishing with 57 percent of the ball and a striking 20 shots to Grenoble's three, seven of them on target compared to just one for the visitors. Grenoble picked up three yellow cards to none for Rodez, reflecting the defensive resistance required to protect their lead against a side pressing for an equaliser that never came.
Xantippe scored the only goal of the match and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a mark of 7.84.
Rodez managed 20 shots to Grenoble's three, yet could not convert their overwhelming attacking volume into a goal.
Grenoble won 1–0 away against Rodez (half-time 0–1).
Rodez met Grenoble in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Friday, 11 September 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stade Paul-Lignon.
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Matthéo Xantippe (assist: Baptiste Mouazan) — 0–1 · Watch Matthéo Xantippe's goal video (11')
Starting line-ups
Rodez (5-3-2)
Grenoble (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rodez 56%, the draw 27%, Grenoble 17%. It finished Rodez 0–1 Grenoble.
Rodez's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Rodez are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Rodez a clear lead. The draw at 27% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Rodez at 56%?
Rodez sit 119 points higher on our strength rating — 1609 to 1490. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,794 such games. Rodez hold 7 more possession points (44 to 37 in recent games) across a 119-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,669 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 61–22–17.
Why only 56%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Rodez's column. Across 11,040 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Grenoble win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,040. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Rodez are unbeaten in their last 14 league games at home (8 wins, 6 draws), a run going back to October 2025. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,595 games vs 54.5% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it, as it did for the season-long record. Grenoble come into this after a busy window — 17 arrivals and 10 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rodez vs Grenoble final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rodez 0–1 Grenoble. Explore more on the Rodez and Grenoble team pages or the Ligue 2 page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Rodez vs Grenoble?
Grenoble won 1–0 away against Rodez (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Rodez vs Grenoble?
Matthéo Xantippe (11') for Grenoble.
›Where can I watch Rodez vs Grenoble highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Rodez 0–1 Grenoble are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Rodez and Grenoble?
Rodez and Grenoble have met 10 times — 3 wins for Rodez, 4 wins for Grenoble and 3 draws.