Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne — Ligue 2: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLigue 2 BKTYouTubeMatch Events
- 19′Saint Etienne, yellow card:Persistent infringement
- 39′Dunkerque, yellow card:Foul
- 43′Saint Etienne, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 51′Saint Etienne, yellow card:Foul
- 52′Dunkerque, goal:1–1assist
- 52′Dunkerque, yellow card:
- 53′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 53′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 58′Dunkerque, goal:2–1assist
- 70′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 70′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 71′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 71′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 77′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 77′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 85′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 90′Dunkerque, yellow card:Foul
- 90+6′Dunkerque, yellow card:Time wasting
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Dunkerque
Saint Etienne
Match report
Dunkerque stun table-topping Saint Etienne with second-half turnaround
Dunkerque came from behind to beat Ligue 2 leaders Saint Etienne 2-1 in matchday six action at Stade Marcel Tribut, halting a run of five straight defeats by their own account and denting the visitors' unbeaten momentum at the top of the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Saint Etienne struck first, Augustine Boakye finishing off a Zuriko Davitashvili assist in first-half stoppage time to send the away side in 1-0 up at the break despite having less of the ball. Dunkerque responded quickly after the restart, with K. Ayari levelling in the 52nd minute from a Souleymane Keita assist, before Keita himself turned provider into scorer six minutes later, netting from a Victor Mayela pass to complete the reversal at 2-1.
Saint Etienne held more of the possession and produced more shots and corners across the ninety minutes, but Dunkerque made their limited chances count where it mattered, converting two of their opportunities either side of the interval to seal all three points on home soil.
Souleymane Keita had a hand in both of Dunkerque's goals, setting up Ayari's equaliser before scoring the winner himself, and finished with the highest rating of the match at 8.43.
Saint Etienne had the greater share of possession at 57 percent, yet it was Dunkerque who made the breakthroughs count.
Dunkerque beat Saint Etienne 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Dunkerque met Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stade Marcel Tribut. Referee: Faouzi Benchabane.
Team pages: Dunkerque · Saint Etienne · Ligue 2
Key moments
- 43' Goal: Augustine Boakye (assist: Zuriko Davitashvili) — 0–1
- 52' Goal: K. Ayari (assist: Souleymane Keita) — 1–1
- 58' Goal: Souleymane Keita (assist: Victor Mayela) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Saint Etienne (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dunkerque 31%, the draw 27%, Saint Etienne 42%. It finished Dunkerque 2–1 Saint Etienne.
Saint Etienne's rating edge outweighs Dunkerque's home ground — Saint Etienne are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Saint Etienne the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Saint Etienne at 42%?
Saint Etienne sit 111 points higher on our strength rating — 1555 to 1666. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,164 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Dunkerque's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–30–39.
Why only 42%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 42% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Dunkerque at 31%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Dunkerque come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals, 19 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Last five: Dunkerque W-D-L-L-D, Saint Etienne W-W-W-W-W — Saint Etienne are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2206 games when clearly hotter and 42.7% of 4031 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dunkerque 2–1 Saint Etienne. Explore more on the Dunkerque and Saint Etienne team pages or the Ligue 2 page.