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Nashville SC vs 06.08.26 00:300 – 1Full Time
Leon — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Leon edged Nashville SC 1-0 in a Leagues Cup Group Stage clash at Geodis Park, with the game's only goal arriving late to settle an otherwise tight contest. The scoreline remained goalless at half-time before the visitors found the breakthrough that decided the outcome.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The deadlock was broken in the 80th minute when D. Arcila converted an assist from S. Santos, giving Leon the lead they would not relinquish. Nashville SC pushed for a response but could not find a way past the visiting defence in the closing stages, and the match ended 0-1.
Nashville SC held the greater share of possession at 56 percent and also edged the shots on goal, but neither side carved out a clinical enough edge, with each managing two shots on target. Leon's higher foul count and extra corner reflected a more direct approach that ultimately yielded the decisive moment.
D. Arcila scored the only goal of the match in the 80th minute, finishing off a S. Santos assist to earn a share of the top rating alongside C. Brunet at 7.5.
Nashville SC dominated possession with 56 percent of the ball but were unable to convert that control into a goal.
Leon won 1–0 away against Nashville SC (half-time 0–0).
Nashville SC met Leon in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Thursday, 6 August 2026, 00:30 UTC at Geodis Park. Referee: S. Reyna.
Team pages: Nashville SC · Leon · Leagues Cup
Before kick-off Sirius gave Nashville SC 56%, the draw 26%, Leon 18%. It finished Nashville SC 0–1 Leon.
Nashville SC's rating edge carries it — Nashville SC are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Nashville SC's 56%. The draw at 26% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Nashville SC sit 183 points higher on our strength rating — 1713 to 1530. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,639 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–22–16.
No scored evidence points the other way. 56% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Leon at 18%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,484. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
Nashville SC average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 183 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Nashville SC scored +0.86 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,733 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Nashville SC vs Leon final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Nashville SC and Leon team pages or the Leagues Cup page.
Leon won 1–0 away against Nashville SC (half-time 0–0).
Daniel Arcila (80') for Leon.
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Nashville SC vs Leon; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.