Cruz Azul vs 07.08.26 00:001 – 0Full Time
Philadelphia Union — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union — the facts
Cruz Azul beat Philadelphia Union 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Cruz Azul met Philadelphia Union in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Friday, 7 August 2026, 00:00 UTC at Subaru Park. Referee: Juan Calderon.
Team pages: Cruz Azul · Philadelphia Union · Leagues Cup
Key moments
- 3' Goal: José Paradela (assist: Omar Campos) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Cruz Azul (4-4-2)
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cruz Azul 33%, the draw 26%, Philadelphia Union 41%. It finished Cruz Azul 1–0 Philadelphia Union.
Philadelphia Union's rating edge on neutral ground — Philadelphia Union are the stronger side on our strength rating, and neutral ground on top gives Philadelphia Union the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Philadelphia Union at 41%?
Philadelphia Union sit 83 points higher on our strength rating — 1499 to 1581. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,483 such games. Leagues Cup is played on neutral grounds: Cruz Azul are the listed home side but get none of the usual home lift, so the class read is re-centred. On grounds we detect as neutral, listed-home sides won 44.6% of 26,824 games vs 45.2% at real homes — so a tournament game away from a side's own ground scores the class edge venue-free, as the average of the home and away reads.
Why only 41%?
Cruz Azul hold 13 more possession points (57 to 44 in recent games) across a 83-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,559 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,839. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Cruz Azul arrive with 13 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Philadelphia Union bring a 437-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Cruz Azul and Philadelphia Union team pages or the Leagues Cup page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union?
Cruz Azul beat Philadelphia Union 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union?
José Paradela (3') for Cruz Azul.
›Where can I watch Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
›What is the head-to-head record between Cruz Azul and Philadelphia Union?
Cruz Azul and Philadelphia Union have met 1 time — 0 wins for Cruz Azul, 0 wins for Philadelphia Union and 1 draw.