1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 27′1899 Hoffenheim, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 51′1. FC Köln, goal:1–1
- 53′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 53′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 57′1899 Hoffenheim, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 65′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 65′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 65′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 67′1899 Hoffenheim, goal:1–2assist
- 71′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 72′1. FC Köln, goal:2–2assist
- 82′1. FC Köln, goal:3–2
- 83′1899 Hoffenheim, yellow card:Foul
- 87′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 87′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 90′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 90′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 90+4′1899 Hoffenheim, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time3 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Assists
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Player Ratings
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
Match report
Dallinga double sinks Hoffenheim as Köln fight back to win 3-2
1. FC Köln came from behind to beat Hoffenheim 3-2 in their opening Bundesliga fixture of the season, played at the RheinEnergieStadion. Hoffenheim led at half-time after a first-half strike, but Köln overturned the deficit in the second period to claim victory on matchday one.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Adam Daghim put Hoffenheim ahead in the 27th minute, assisted by Bambasé Conté, and that goal stood up until the break. Said El Mala levelled for Köln early in the second half, only for Ozan Kabak to restore Hoffenheim's lead in the 67th minute with an assist from Vladimír Coufal.
Köln responded quickly. Thijs Dallinga equalised in the 72nd minute after a pass from Linton Maina, then struck again in the 82nd minute to complete his brace and turn the contest in the home side's favour for good. Köln finished with 18 shots to Hoffenheim's 15 despite having just 41 percent of possession, while Hoffenheim picked up two yellow cards to Köln's none.
Thijs Dallinga scored twice for Köln, including the winning goal in the 82nd minute, and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 9.77.
Köln managed more shots than Hoffenheim, 18 to 15, despite having considerably less of the ball.
1. FC Köln beat 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 (half-time 0–1).
1. FC Köln met 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC at RheinEnergieStadion. Referee: Florian Badstubner.
Team pages: 1. FC Köln · 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 27' Goal: Adam Daghim (assist: Bambasé Conté) — 0–1 · Watch Adam Daghim's goal video (27')
- 51' Goal: Said El Mala — 1–1 · Watch Said El Mala's goal video (51')
- 67' Goal: Ozan Kabak (assist: Vladimír Coufal) — 1–2 · Watch Ozan Kabak's goal video (67')
- 72' Goal: Thijs Dallinga (assist: Linton Maina) — 2–2 · Watch Thijs Dallinga's goal video (72')
- 82' Goal: Thijs Dallinga — 3–2
Starting line-ups
1. FC Köln (4-3-3)
1899 Hoffenheim (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave 1. FC Köln 29%, the draw 28%, 1899 Hoffenheim 43%. It finished 1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 Hoffenheim.
1899 Hoffenheim's rating edge outweighs 1. FC Köln's home ground — 1899 Hoffenheim are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball plus the early-season home fade on top give 1899 Hoffenheim the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why 1899 Hoffenheim at 43%?
1899 Hoffenheim sit 116 points higher on our strength rating — 1697 to 1813. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,107 such games. 1899 Hoffenheim hold 9 more possession points (59 to 50 in recent games) across a 116-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,634 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims 1. FC Köln's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–30–38.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and 1. FC Köln at 29%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,023. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
1899 Hoffenheim have shed 60 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,671 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. 1. FC Köln on 4 days' rest, 1899 Hoffenheim on 7. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 43,531 measured games no rest advantage repeated.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Adam Daghim's goal against 1. FC Köln (27').
- Watch Said El Mala's goal against 1899 Hoffenheim (51').
- Watch Ozan Kabak's goal against 1. FC Köln (67').
- Watch Thijs Dallinga's goal against 1899 Hoffenheim (72').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from 1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 Hoffenheim. Explore more on the 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim team pages or the Bundesliga page.