Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 9′Borussia Dortmund, goal:1–0assist
- 21′Hamburger SV, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Borussia Dortmund, own goal:2–0Own goal
- Half-time2 – 0
- 54′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 58′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- 67′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 67′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 74′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 74′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 74′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 77′Borussia Dortmund, red card:Foul
- 82′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 82′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 84′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 85′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- 89′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
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Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
Match report
Dortmund see off Hamburger SV with dominant first-half display
Borussia Dortmund began their Bundesliga campaign with a 2-0 victory over Hamburger SV at Signal Iduna Park, a result built almost entirely in the opening 45 minutes of the Regular Season - 1 fixture.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Serhou Guirassy opened the scoring in the ninth minute, converting an assist from Konstantinos Karetsas, before Giannis Konstantelias doubled the advantage in first-half stoppage time to make it 2-0 at the break. Dortmund controlled the second period without adding further goals, and Samuele Inacio was shown a red card in the 77th minute, leaving Hamburger SV to finish the match with an extra man advantage in numbers on the pitch.
Dortmund dominated possession with 56 percent of the ball and produced 20 shots to Hamburger SV's eight, six of which were on target compared to three for the visitors. The home side also won the corner count 3-1, though they picked up two yellow cards and the late red, while Felix Zwayer took charge of proceedings.
Guirassy struck the opening goal and finished with a rating of 8.12, the highest of any player on show, while Karetsas supplied the assist for that opener and also impressed with a 7.70 rating.
Dortmund's control was reflected in their shot count, doubling Hamburger SV's total with 20 attempts to eight.
Borussia Dortmund beat Hamburger SV 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Borussia Dortmund met Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC at Signal Iduna Park. Referee: Felix Zwayer.
Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · Hamburger SV · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Serhou Guirassy (assist: Konstantinos Karetsas) — 1–0 · Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal video (9')
- 45' Goal (own goal): Sebastiaan Bornauw — 2–0 · Watch Sebastiaan Bornauw's goal video (45')
- 77' Red card: Samuele Inacio
Starting line-ups
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-3)
Hamburger SV (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Borussia Dortmund 65%, the draw 21%, Hamburger SV 14%. It finished Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV.
Borussia Dortmund's rating gap decides it — Borussia Dortmund are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Borussia Dortmund's 65%. The draw at 21% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Borussia Dortmund at 65%?
Borussia Dortmund sit 248 points higher on our strength rating — 1984 to 1736. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,962 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–17–11.
Why only 65%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Borussia Dortmund's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,900. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Borussia Dortmund average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 248 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Borussia Dortmund have won the last 4 home meetings with Hamburger SV. Streaks like this look decisive, but sides on a 3+ home run in a fixture won 58.8% of 4,882 such games vs 58.4% class-expected — the strength that built the streak is already in the rating. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal against Hamburger SV (9').
- Watch Sebastiaan Bornauw's own goal video (45').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV. Explore more on the Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV team pages or the Bundesliga page.