Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow6 clips- 21′Bayern München, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 52′VfB Stuttgart, goal:1–1
- 55′Bayern München, goal:2–1assist
- 57′Bayern München, own goal:3–1Own goal
- 61′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 62′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:Foul
- 62′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 63′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 64′Bayern München, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 68′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:Foul
- 74′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 74′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 74′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 81′Bayern München, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Bayern München, goal:4–1assist
- 84′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 84′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 84′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 88′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 90′Bayern München, goal:5–1assist
- 90+3′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time5 – 1
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Key Stats
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Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
Match report
Bayern München thrash Stuttgart 5-1 to open Bundesliga campaign
Bayern München began the Bundesliga season with a commanding 5-1 victory over VfB Stuttgart at the Allianz Arena. Dayotchanculle Upamecano opened the scoring in the 21st minute, finished by Joshua Kimmich's assist, and the hosts led 1-0 at half-time before pulling away emphatically after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Stuttgart levelled through Josha Vagnoman in the 52nd minute, but the response from Bayern was immediate. Michael Olise restored the lead three minutes later, again teed up by Kimmich, and Vagnoman then turned the ball into his own net to make it 3-1 within a five-minute spell either side of the hour mark.
The contest was settled long before the closing stages, though Bayern continued to add to the tally. Aleksandar Pavlović converted an Ismael Saibari assist in the 82nd minute, and Luis Díaz completed the scoring in second-half stoppage time, also set up by Saibari, sealing a five-goal margin for Vincent Kompany's side on matchday one.
Joshua Kimmich set up two of Bayern's five goals from midfield and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 9.0 mark.
Bayern's dominance was underlined by an xG of 3.93 compared to Stuttgart's 0.86 across the match.
Bayern München beat VfB Stuttgart 5–1 (half-time 1–0).
Bayern München met VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Friday, 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC at Allianz Arena. Referee: Sören Storks.
Team pages: Bayern München · VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 21' Goal: Dayot Upamecano (assist: Joshua Kimmich) — 1–0 · Watch Dayot Upamecano's goal video (21')
- 52' Goal: Josha Vagnoman — 1–1 · Watch Josha Vagnoman's goal video (52')
- 55' Goal: Michael Olise (assist: Joshua Kimmich) — 2–1 · Watch Michael Olise's goal video (55')
- 57' Goal (own goal): Josha Vagnoman — 3–1 · Watch Josha Vagnoman's goal video (57')
- 82' Goal: Aleksandar Pavlović (assist: Ismael Saibari) — 4–1 · Watch Aleksandar Pavlović's goal video (82')
- 90' Goal: Luis Díaz (assist: Ismael Saibari) — 5–1 · Watch Luis Díaz's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Bayern München (4-2-3-1)
VfB Stuttgart (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bayern München 73%, the draw 16%, VfB Stuttgart 11%. It finished Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart.
Bayern München's rating gap decides it — Bayern München are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Bayern München's 73%. The draw at 16% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Bayern München at 73%?
Bayern München sit 318 points higher on our strength rating — 2290 to 1972. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,098 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 73–15–12.
Why not higher?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Bayern München's column. Across 10,741 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 16%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 14.9%. These teams' recent games average 4.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,018. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bayern München average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 318 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Bayern München have won the last 4 home meetings with VfB Stuttgart. Streaks like this look decisive, but sides on a 3+ home run in a fixture won 58.8% of 4,879 such games vs 58.4% class-expected — the strength that built the streak is already in the rating. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Dayot Upamecano's goal against VfB Stuttgart (21').
- Watch Josha Vagnoman's goal against Bayern München (52').
- Watch Michael Olise's goal against VfB Stuttgart (55').
- Watch Josha Vagnoman's own goal video (57').
- Watch Aleksandar Pavlović's goal against VfB Stuttgart (82').
- Watch Luis Díaz's goal against VfB Stuttgart (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart. Explore more on the Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart team pages or the Bundesliga page.