SV Elversberg vs 29.08.26 13:303 – 2Full Time
Bayer Leverkusen — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Elversberg hold off Leverkusen fightback to win 3-2
SV Elversberg began their Bundesliga campaign with a 3-2 win over Bayer Leverkusen at the Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, racing into a two-goal lead inside the opening nine minutes before holding on through a nervy finish.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Lukas Petkov opened the scoring in the eighth minute, assisted by Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka, and William Cole Campbell doubled the advantage a minute later. David Mokwa added a third moments into the second half, finishing off a Petkov assist to make it 3-0. Leverkusen responded through Patrik Schick, set up by Ibrahim Maza in the 77th minute, and Christian Kofane pulled another back in stoppage time to make for a tense finale.
Despite facing 67 percent possession and 21 shots to their 11, Elversberg were the more clinical side, converting three of their six shots on target while Leverkusen managed just four on target from their heavy share of attacking play. The hosts' early efficiency proved decisive in a match where they spent much of the second half defending their lead.
David Mokwa scored the third goal shortly after half-time and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 7.88.
Leverkusen dominated possession with 67 percent of the ball but could not turn that control into victory.
SV Elversberg beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–2 (half-time 2–0).
SV Elversberg met Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde. Referee: Robert Hartmann.
Team pages: SV Elversberg · Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 8' Goal: Lukas Petkov (assist: Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka) — 1–0 · Watch Lukas Petkov's goal video (8')
- 9' Goal: William Cole Campbell — 2–0 · Watch William Cole Campbell's goal video (9')
- 46' Goal: David Mokwa (assist: Lukas Petkov) — 3–0 · Watch David Mokwa's goal video (46')
- 77' Goal: Patrik Schick (assist: Ibrahim Maza) — 3–1 · Watch Patrik Schick's goal video (77')
- 90+1' Goal: Christian Kofane — 3–2 · Watch Christian Kofane's goal video (90+1')
Starting line-ups
SV Elversberg (4-2-3-1)
Bayer Leverkusen (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SV Elversberg 20%, the draw 21%, Bayer Leverkusen 59%. It finished SV Elversberg 3–2 Bayer Leverkusen.
Bayer Leverkusen's rating gap outweighs SV Elversberg's home ground — Bayer Leverkusen are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Bayer Leverkusen a clear lead. The draw at 21% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Bayer Leverkusen at 59%?
Bayer Leverkusen sit 295 points higher on our strength rating — 1726 to 2021. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,049 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims SV Elversberg's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–20–59.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and SV Elversberg at 20%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,023. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.8 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bayer Leverkusen average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 295 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. SV Elversberg have gained 90 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,243 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Lukas Petkov's goal against Bayer Leverkusen (8').
- Watch William Cole Campbell's goal against Bayer Leverkusen (9').
- Watch David Mokwa's goal against Bayer Leverkusen (46').
- Watch Patrik Schick's goal against SV Elversberg (77').
- Watch Christian Kofane's goal against SV Elversberg (90+1').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SV Elversberg 3–2 Bayer Leverkusen. Explore more on the SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen team pages or the Bundesliga page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
SV Elversberg beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–2 (half-time 2–0).
›Who scored in SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Lukas Petkov (8') for SV Elversberg; William Cole Campbell (9') for SV Elversberg; David Mokwa (46') for SV Elversberg; Patrik Schick (77') for Bayer Leverkusen; Christian Kofane (90+1') for Bayer Leverkusen.
›Where can I watch SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from SV Elversberg 3–2 Bayer Leverkusen are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen?
SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen have met 2 times — 1 win for SV Elversberg, 1 win for Bayer Leverkusen and 0 draws.