VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC — 2. Bundesliga: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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VfL BochumKarlsruher SCVfL BochumKarlsruher SCMatch preview
VfL Bochum host Karlsruher SC in 2. Bundesliga matchday 11
VfL Bochum welcome Karlsruher SC to the Vonovia Ruhrstadion on matchday 11 of the 2. Bundesliga, with Uwe Rösler's side facing a team managed by Maximilian Senft. Both clubs have played ten games and sit on 11 points, though Bochum are placed 11th and Karlsruhe 13th, two places apart with nothing between them on points.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Bochum arrive after back-to-back victories, a 2-0 home win over FSV Mainz 05 followed by a 2-1 success away at Energie Cottbus. Before that they had drawn 1-1 with VfL Wolfsburg and lost to Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Kaiserslautern, so the recent run has turned upwards.
Karlsruhe's last five games have been more uneven. Wins over SV Darmstadt 98 (4-0) and 1. FC Heidenheim (2-1) at home sit alongside heavy defeats at 1. FC Magdeburg (6-1) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2-0). Away from home, Karlsruhe have conceded 13 goals in their last five games on the road.
Across their last 5 meetings, VfL Bochum won 2, Karlsruher SC won 1, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Karlsruher SC 1–2 VfL Bochum on 17 May 2026. Karlsruher SC's latest win in this sample was VfL Bochum 1–2 Karlsruher SC on 31 January 2021.
Bochum have won their last two games, while Karlsruhe have won two of their last five but lost three, conceding 11 goals across that stretch.
In their last five home games Bochum have scored four goals and conceded four, with one win, two draws and two defeats.
VfL Bochum meet Karlsruher SC in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 12:30 UTC at Ruhrstadion. Referee: Florian Badstubner.
Team pages: VfL Bochum · Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga
Sirius · Why these numbers
VfL Bochum 51% · Draw 26% · Karlsruher SC 23%
Bochum's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — We give VfL Bochum 51% mainly because they sit 78 points higher on our strength rating, 1453 to 1375, and they also get the usual home advantage. The draw sits at 26%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 2.9 goals.
Why VfL Bochum at 51%?
VfL Bochum sit 78 points higher on our strength rating — 1453 to 1375. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,130 such games.
Why only 51%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 51% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Karlsruher SC at 23%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Karlsruher SC are winless in their last 8 away games: 3 draws and 5 defeats. The run began on 15 March 2026. Last recorded away league win: 1 March 2026 — 1. FC Magdeburg 1–3 Karlsruher SC. Latest recorded away league result: 24 October 2026 — 1. FC Magdeburg 6–1 Karlsruher SC. Across 14,301 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.5%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. VfL Bochum come into this after a busy window — 15 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this 2. Bundesliga fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the VfL Bochum and Karlsruher SC team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.