HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 26′Avellino, goal:1–0
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Pisa, substitution:off
- 46′Pisa, substitution:off
- 59′Avellino, goal:2–0assist
- 69′Avellino, substitution:off
- 69′Avellino, substitution:off
- 69′Pisa, substitution:off
- 69′Pisa, substitution:off
- 69′Pisa, substitution:off
- 83′Pisa, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Avellino, substitution:off
- 90+6′Avellino, substitution:off
- 90+7′Avellino, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Avellino
Pisa
Match report
Avellino beat Pisa 2-0 at the Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Avellino beat Pisa 2-0 in Serie B on Matchday 10, ending a run of three games without a win. Alessandro Nesta's side took the lead in the 26th minute through Luca Di Maggio and went into the interval 1-0 ahead, having ceded most of the ball to their visitors.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Raffaele Russo doubled the advantage in the 59th minute, finishing from Martin Palumbo's assist to make it 2-0. Pisa, managed by Paolo Bianco, had 66% of possession and lost for the first time in six matches, their run of five games unbeaten coming to an end.
The result lifted Avellino from tenth to fifth, level on 15 points with Pisa, who dropped from fifth to seventh. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Avellino a 30% chance of winning. Both sides are in Serie B action on Saturday 7 November, Avellino away to Benevento and Pisa at home to Sudtirol.
Di Maggio opened the scoring in the 26th minute and was rated 8.2, the same as Russo, who added the second. Palumbo set up that goal and was rated 7.7.
Avellino won despite having only 34% of possession, against Pisa's 66%.
Avellino beat Pisa 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Avellino met Pisa in the Serie B (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 14:00 UTC at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Referee: Kevin Bonacina.
Key moments
- 26' Goal: Luca Di Maggio — 1–0
- 59' Goal: Raffaele Russo (assist: Martin Palumbo) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Avellino (3-5-2)
Pisa (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Avellino 30%, the draw 34%, Pisa 36%. It finished Avellino 2–0 Pisa.
Pisa's higher rating gives them a slight edge — Pisa sit 88 points higher on our strength rating, 1460 to 1373, and home advantage runs weak across Serie B, so we give them 36% to Avellino's 30%. The draw starts at 28% for a gap this size and rises to 34%, mainly because draws are common in Serie B.
Why Pisa at 36%?
Pisa sit 88 points higher on our strength rating — 1460 to 1373. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,851 such games. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,107 games vs 44.6% across all 108,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 36–26–38.
Why only 36%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 36% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 34% and Avellino at 30%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Avellino win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,278. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Avellino played 3 competitive matches between 18–27 October 2026 (UTC dates). Pisa played 2 matches in the same 14-day window before kickoff. The busier schedule is worth watching.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Avellino vs Pisa final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Avellino 2–0 Pisa. Explore more on the Avellino and Pisa team pages or the Serie B page.