Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus — Serie B: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 2′Vicenza Virtus, goal:0–1assist
- 14′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Foul
- 42′Palermo, yellow card:Dissent
- 45′Palermo, goal:1–1
- Half-time1 – 1
- 53′Palermo, goal:2–1assist
- 60′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 61′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 68′Palermo, substitution:off
- 68′Palermo, substitution:off
- 68′Palermo, substitution:off
- 71′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 71′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 75′Palermo, substitution:off
- 79′Palermo, substitution:off
- 82′Palermo, yellow card:Foul
- 83′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 85′Palermo, goal:3–1
- Full-time3 – 1
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Key Stats
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Palermo
Vicenza Virtus
Match report
Palermo come from behind to beat Vicenza Virtus 3-1 at Renzo Barbera
Palermo came from behind to beat Vicenza Virtus 3-1 at the Renzo Barbera on Matchday 10 of Serie B, extending their lead at the top of the table. The visitors made the perfect start, Nicolò Brighenti scoring in the second minute from Filippo Costa's assist to put them 1-0 up.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Palermo pressed for a reply and got it on the stroke of half-time, Dennis Johnsen scoring in the 45th minute to make it 1-1 at the interval. The home side then took the lead eight minutes after the restart, Dominic Vavassori finishing from Jacopo Segre's pass in the 53rd minute.
Vavassori added his second in the 85th minute to settle the contest at 3-1. Palermo had 22 shots to nine and 2.83 expected goals to 1.23, even though Vicenza Virtus held 54 per cent of the possession. Palermo are now unbeaten in 13 games and sit first on 26 points, while Vicenza Virtus remain 17th on nine.
Palermo travel to Ascoli on Friday in Serie B, while Vicenza Virtus host Cremonese in the same competition on Sunday.
Dominic Vavassori scored twice, in the 53rd and 85th minutes, and was the highest-rated player on the pitch with 7.94. Dennis Johnsen's first-half equaliser earned him a rating of 7.68.
Palermo had 22 shots to Vicenza Virtus's nine, a gap that underlined their dominance after the early setback.
Palermo beat Vicenza Virtus 3–1 (half-time 1–1).
Palermo met Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 18:30 UTC at Renzo Barbera. Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena.
Team pages: Palermo · Vicenza Virtus · Serie B
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Nicolò Brighenti (assist: Filippo Costa) — 0–1
- 45' Goal: Dennis Johnsen — 1–1
- 53' Goal: Dominic Vavassori (assist: Jacopo Segre) — 2–1
- 85' Goal: Dominic Vavassori — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Palermo (4-2-3-1)
Vicenza Virtus (3-4-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Palermo 75%, the draw 20%, Vicenza Virtus 5%. It finished Palermo 3–1 Vicenza Virtus.
Palermo's strength edge outweighs a weak home advantage — We give Palermo 75% mainly because they sit 261 points higher on our strength rating, 1587 to 1326, though home sides across Serie B tend to under-perform, which pulls slightly towards Vicenza Virtus. The draw sits at 20%, starting from 15% for a gap this size, raised by Serie B's usual draw rate and trimmed by the high-scoring recent games of both sides.
Why Palermo at 75%?
Palermo sit 261 points higher on our strength rating — 1587 to 1326. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,977 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 75–16–9.
Why not higher?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,107 games vs 44.6% across all 108,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 15.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,539. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment takes 1.9 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Palermo have gained 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 11,986 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Palermo are unbeaten in their last 18 home Serie B games: 17 wins and 1 draw. The run began on 1 November 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 28 October 2025 — Palermo 0–3 Monza. Latest home league result: 25 October 2026 — Palermo 2–1 Carrarese. Across 16,154 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Palermo 3–1 Vicenza Virtus. Explore more on the Palermo and Vicenza Virtus team pages or the Serie B page.