HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 25′Mantova, VAR review:Red card cancelled
- 26′Mantova, yellow card:Foul
- 34′Mantova, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Mantova, substitution:off
- 46′Mantova, substitution:off
- 46′Mantova, substitution:off
- 46′Mantova, substitution:Tommaso Del Lungooff
- 47′Modena, yellow card:Foul
- 52′Modena, goal:1–0assist
- 62′Modena, substitution:off
- 66′Modena, yellow card:Dissent
- 70′Modena, substitution:off
- 79′Mantova, substitution:off
- 81′Modena, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Mantova, goal:1–1assist
- 86′Modena, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Modena
Mantova
Match report
Spinaccè's late equaliser earns Mantova a point at Modena
Modena and Mantova shared a 1-1 draw in Serie B on matchday 10 at Alberto Braglia, with Matteo Spinaccè's 84th-minute goal cancelling out Andrea Belotti's second-half opener. The result left Modena second in the table on 20 points and Mantova fourth on 18, with the two sides still two places and two points apart.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half passed without a goal and it was 0-0 at the interval. Modena broke the deadlock in the 52nd minute, when Giuseppe Ambrosino set up Belotti to make it 1-0. The home side had been the more settled of the two, holding 53 per cent of possession, though they managed only two shots on target in the match.
Mantova stayed in the contest and found their reward six minutes from time. Davide Bragantini supplied the pass for Spinaccè, who levelled at 1-1 in the 84th minute. There were no further goals and no red cards, with Mantova ending the game having had 12 shots to Modena's 10 and having won seven corners to none.
Modena's next game is away to Virtus Entella in Serie B on Sunday 8 November. Mantova are at home to Hellas Verona in the same competition the previous day, Saturday 7 November.
Spinaccè scored Mantova's equaliser in the 84th minute and was the top-rated player on the pitch with 8.2. Belotti, who put Modena ahead, followed with 7.9.
Mantova won seven corners in the match, while Modena did not win one.
Modena and Mantova drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Modena met Mantova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Alberto Braglia. Referee: Francesco Fourneau.
Key moments
- 52' Goal: Andrea Belotti (assist: Giuseppe Ambrosino) — 1–0
- 84' Goal: Matteo Spinaccè (assist: Davide Bragantini) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Modena (3-5-2)
Mantova (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Modena 43%, the draw 34%, Mantova 23%. It finished Modena 1–1 Mantova.
Home advantage edges Modena in a level match — Our strength rating has almost nothing between the sides, so Modena's usual home advantage puts them in front at 43%, though home sides in Serie B tend to under-perform, which helps Mantova. The draw sits at 34%, up from a usual 28% because Serie B produces plenty of draws, trimmed slightly by both teams' recent goal-rich games.
Why Modena in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1454 to 1429. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,561 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,102 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Mantova win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Modena won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Mantova. The record is 3 wins for Modena, 1 draw and 0 wins for Mantova. These were 4 Serie B games played at both grounds between 30 November 2024 and 21 March 2026. Latest meeting: 21 March 2026 — Modena 2–1 Mantova. In 5,562 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%. Last five: Modena W-W-L-W-W, Mantova D-W-L-W-L — Modena are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2031 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3929 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Modena vs Mantova final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Modena 1–1 Mantova. Explore more on the Modena and Mantova team pages or the Serie B page.