Hellas Verona vs Carrarese — Serie B: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 10′Hellas Verona, goal:1–0assist
- 22′Hellas Verona, goal:2–0
- 38′Hellas Verona, goal:3–0assist
- Half-time3 – 0
- 46′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 56′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 64′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Foul
- 68′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 68′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 75′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 75′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 75′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 75′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 75′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 86′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Hellas Verona
Carrarese
Match report
Hellas Verona rout Carrarese with three first-half goals
Hellas Verona beat Carrarese 3-0 at the Marc'Antonio Bentegodi in Serie B on Matchday 10, with all three goals arriving before the interval. The hosts built a commanding lead inside 38 minutes and were never troubled after the break, the score remaining unchanged through the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Abdou Harroui opened the scoring in the 10th minute, finishing from Gabriele Zappa's assist to make it 1-0. Daniel Mosquera doubled the advantage in the 22nd minute, and Amin Sarr completed the first-half scoring in the 38th, set up by Kacper Sezonienko, to leave it 3-0 at the break.
Carrarese held the greater share of the ball, with 58 per cent possession to Verona's 42, and had 16 shots to 12 and nine corners to five. Both sides put five efforts on target, but the visitors never found a way past Verona's defence, and Simone Perilli kept a clean sheet for the home side.
The win lifted Verona from 11th to fifth in the table, on 15 points, while Carrarese stayed 16th on 10 points. Verona travel to Mantova in Serie B on Saturday 7 November, and Carrarese host Sampdoria in the league on Sunday 8 November.
Amin Sarr scored Verona's third goal and was the top-rated performer on 8.2. Daniel Mosquera, who scored the second, followed on 8.0.
Carrarese won the corner count nine to five, yet it brought no way back into the match.
Hellas Verona beat Carrarese 3–0 (half-time 3–0).
Hellas Verona met Carrarese in the Serie B (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 16:15 UTC at Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. Referee: Paride Tremolada.
Team pages: Hellas Verona · Carrarese · Serie B
Key moments
- 10' Goal: Abdou Harroui (assist: Gabriele Zappa) — 1–0
- 22' Goal: Daniel Mosquera — 2–0
- 38' Goal: Amin Sarr (assist: Kacper Sezonienko) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Hellas Verona (4-3-3)
Carrarese (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hellas Verona 57%, the draw 33%, Carrarese 10%. It finished Hellas Verona 3–0 Carrarese.
Verona's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Hellas Verona 57% mainly because they sit 111 points higher on our strength rating, 1469 to 1359, though home advantage runs weak across Serie B, which helps Carrarese a little. The draw starts at 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and rises to 33% mostly because Serie B produces plenty of draws.
Why Hellas Verona at 57%?
Hellas Verona sit 111 points higher on our strength rating — 1469 to 1359. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,375 such games. Hellas Verona sit -0.31 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.3% of 2,981 such games where the class table expected 35.5%. Hellas Verona hold 9 more possession points (51 to 42 in recent games) across a 111-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,333 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–27–20.
Why only 57%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,107 games vs 44.6% across all 108,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Carrarese win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,368. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Carrarese come into this after a busy window — 16 arrivals and 19 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Carrarese are 4 games into a new manager (G. Pagliuca), appointed 21 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hellas Verona vs Carrarese final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hellas Verona 3–0 Carrarese. Explore more on the Hellas Verona and Carrarese team pages or the Serie B page.