HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 15′Catanzaro, yellow card:Foul
- 27′Padova, yellow card:Foul
- 27′Catanzaro, goal:1–0
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Padova, substitution:off
- 46′Padova, substitution:off
- 52′Padova, yellow card:Foul
- 56′Padova, substitution:off
- 65′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 66′Padova, goal:1–1assist
- 76′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 76′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 79′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 79′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 81′Padova, substitution:off
- 82′Catanzaro, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
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Catanzaro
Padova
Match report
Catanzaro denied by Padova equaliser despite 25 shots
Catanzaro and Padova drew 1-1 at the Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in Serie B on Matchday 10, the hosts failing to turn heavy pressure into a win. Mehdi Dorval put Catanzaro in front in the 27th minute, and they went into the interval 1-0 ahead.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Padova levelled in the 66th minute. Alessandro Capelli supplied the pass and Kevin Varas finished to make it 1-1, the visitors' only effort on target all afternoon. There were no further goals, and neither side had a player sent off.
The hosts controlled much of the game, with 57 per cent of possession, 25 shots to 5 and 11 corners to 2. Padova, who had won their previous two league games, still left with a point that took them to 14 from 10 matches and kept them eighth.
Catanzaro, nineteenth after the draw, are now without a win in 6 games. They travel to Cesena on Saturday 7 November in Serie B, while Padova host Empoli in the same competition on the same day.
Kevin Varas scored Padova's equaliser in the 66th minute from Alessandro Capelli's assist and was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 7.96. Mehdi Dorval, who opened the scoring for Catanzaro, was close behind on 7.81.
Catanzaro had 25 shots to Padova's 5, yet managed only five on target.
Catanzaro and Padova drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Catanzaro met Padova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:15 UTC at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Referee: Niccolo Turrini.
Key moments
- 27' Goal: Mehdi Dorval — 1–0
- 66' Goal: Kevin Varas (assist: Alessandro Capelli) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Catanzaro (3-5-2)
Padova (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Catanzaro 48%, the draw 33%, Padova 19%. It finished Catanzaro 1–1 Padova.
Catanzaro's ball control edges a level contest — Our strength rating has almost nothing between the sides, so Catanzaro's home advantage and their habit of controlling the ball (53 to 43 in possession) put them in front, though weak home advantage across Serie B pulls back towards Padova. The draw sits at 33%, lifted from 27.5% by Serie B's usual draw rate.
Why Catanzaro in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1373 to 1345. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,561 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). Catanzaro hold 10 more possession points (53 to 43 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,609 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,102 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Padova win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Catanzaro have shed 100 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,402 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Padova have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Catanzaro vs Padova final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Catanzaro 1–1 Padova. Explore more on the Catanzaro and Padova team pages or the Serie B page.