HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 33′Juve Stabia, goal:0–1
- 36′Juve Stabia, yellow card:Foul
- 38′Empoli, goal:1–1
- 44′Empoli, goal:2–1assist
- Half-time2 – 1
- 53′Empoli, yellow card:Foul
- 56′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 56′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 56′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 59′Juve Stabia, goal:2–2assist
- 64′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 70′Empoli, yellow card:Foul
- 72′Empoli, substitution:off
- 76′Empoli, substitution:off
- 76′Empoli, substitution:off
- 86′Juve Stabia, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Empoli, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
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Key Stats
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Empoli
Juve Stabia
Match report
Empoli and Juve Stabia share the points in a 2-2 Serie B draw
Empoli and Juve Stabia drew 2-2 at the Carlo Castellani in a Serie B Matchday 10 fixture, a result that left the hosts without a win in seven games. Antonio Di Nardo gave the visitors the lead in the 33rd minute, only for Empoli to respond before the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bohdan Popov levelled in the 38th minute, and Edoardo Saporiti put the home side ahead six minutes later, converting a delivery from Dawid Bembnista to make it 2-1 at the break. Empoli had started the day 19th in the table and went in front despite having had slightly less of the ball.
Juve Stabia drew level again in the 59th minute, when Fabio Maistro set up Di Nardo for his second goal of the afternoon. Neither side found a winner thereafter. Juve Stabia, who enjoyed 58% of possession, moved up to 10th on 13 points, while Empoli climbed to 18th on eight.
Empoli travel to Padova on Saturday 7 November in Serie B, the same day Juve Stabia host Arezzo.
Antonio Di Nardo scored both of Juve Stabia's goals, including the equaliser from Maistro's assist, and earned the match's highest rating of 9.3.
Juve Stabia had 19 shots to Empoli's 15, though each side put six on target.
Empoli and Juve Stabia drew 2–2 (half-time 2–1).
Empoli met Juve Stabia in the Serie B (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 14:00 UTC at Carlo Castellani. Referee: Dario Madonia.
Team pages: Empoli · Juve Stabia · Serie B
Key moments
- 33' Goal: Antonio Di Nardo — 0–1
- 38' Goal: Bohdan Popov — 1–1
- 44' Goal: Edoardo Saporiti (assist: Dawid Bembnista) — 2–1
- 59' Goal: Antonio Di Nardo (assist: Fabio Maistro) — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Empoli (3-5-2)
Juve Stabia (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Empoli 32%, the draw 38%, Juve Stabia 30%. It finished Empoli 2–2 Juve Stabia.
Home advantage edges Empoli ahead, but the draw leads — Empoli lead narrowly at 32% to 30% thanks to the usual home advantage, even though our strength rating has Juve Stabia 66 points higher and home sides in Serie B tend to under-perform. The draw is the likeliest single result at 38%, rising from a usual 29% for this strength gap mainly because draws are common in Serie B.
Why Empoli at 32%?
Home ground, against the rating. Juve Stabia sit 66 points higher on our strength rating — 1402 to 1336. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,136 such games.
Why only 32%?
Because Juve Stabia are the stronger side on our strength rating. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,107 games vs 44.6% across all 108,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Juve Stabia hold 10 more possession points (55 to 45 in recent games) across a 66-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,333 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,368. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Juve Stabia come into this after a busy window — 17 arrivals and 16 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Empoli are 4 games into a new manager (M. Andreoletti), appointed 22 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Empoli vs Juve Stabia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Empoli 2–2 Juve Stabia. Explore more on the Empoli and Juve Stabia team pages or the Serie B page.