Jagiellonia vs 15.10.26 19:003 – 1Full Time
Ararat-Armenia — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Jagiellonia come from behind to beat Ararat-Armenia 3-1
Jagiellonia beat Ararat-Armenia 3-1 at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku in the second matchday of the UEFA Europa League league stage, recovering from an early deficit to take control before the interval and add a third soon after it.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ararat-Armenia struck first in the 11th minute, Zidane Banjaqui scoring from Maxence Carlier's assist. The lead lasted two minutes. Kamil Jóźwiak levelled in the 13th, and Rodrigo Conceição put the hosts ahead in the 38th after a pass from Anders Klynge, sending them in at half-time 2-1 up.
Ousmane Sow made it 3-1 in the 51st minute, set up by Jesús Imaz, and the visitors did not find a way back. The match was played in fragments, with 22 fouls to 14 against the home side, and no player was sent off.
Jagiellonia host Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, the same day Ararat-Armenia entertain AZ Alkmaar at home in the competition.
Conceição scored the goal that put Jagiellonia ahead in the 38th minute and earned the highest rating of the match, 7.85. Jóźwiak, who equalised within two minutes of conceding, was close behind on 7.76.
Ararat-Armenia had 58% of the possession yet lost, while Jagiellonia, with 42%, scored three times.
Jagiellonia beat Ararat-Armenia 3–1 (half-time 2–1).
Jagiellonia met Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku. Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou.
Team pages: Jagiellonia · Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Zidane Banjaqui (assist: Maxence Carlier) — 0–1 · Watch Zidane Banjaqui's goal video (11')
- 13' Goal: Kamil Jóźwiak — 1–1 · Watch Kamil Jóźwiak's goal video (13')
- 38' Goal: Rodrigo Conceição (assist: Anders Klynge) — 2–1 · Watch Rodrigo Conceição's goal video (38')
- 51' Goal: Ousmane Sow (assist: Jesús Imaz) — 3–1 · Watch Ousmane Sow's goal video (51')
Starting line-ups
Jagiellonia (4-4-2)
Ararat-Armenia (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Jagiellonia 72%, the draw 17%, Ararat-Armenia 11%. It finished Jagiellonia 3–1 Ararat-Armenia.
Strength gap makes Jagiellonia clear favourites — We give Jagiellonia 72% mainly because our strength rating puts them 237 points higher, 1570 to 1332, and home sides in the UEFA Europa League tend to out-perform the norm. The draw sits at 17%, starting from 18% for a gap this size, lowered by this competition's usual draw rate and nudged up slightly by typical scoring.
Why Jagiellonia at 72%?
Jagiellonia sit 237 points higher on our strength rating — 1570 to 1332. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,577 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,456 games vs 44.6% across all 101,206 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–18–11.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 72% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Ararat-Armenia at 11%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,322. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Zidane Banjaqui's goal against Jagiellonia (11').
- Watch Kamil Jóźwiak's goal against Ararat-Armenia (13').
- Watch Rodrigo Conceição's goal against Ararat-Armenia (38').
- Watch Ousmane Sow's goal against Ararat-Armenia (51').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Jagiellonia 3–1 Ararat-Armenia. Explore more on the Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.