Celta Vigo vs 15.10.26 19:001 – 2Full Time
Juventus — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Juventus snatch late win at Celta Vigo through Kolo Muani
Juventus came from behind to beat Celta Vigo 2-1 at Municipal de Balaídos in the second round of the UEFA Europa League league stage. Randal Kolo Muani struck in the 90+2 minute to settle a match that the hosts had led since the 18th minute and which had looked headed for a draw.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Celta took the lead when Hugo Álvarez scored after a pass from Williot Swedberg, and they went into the interval 1-0 ahead. Juventus levelled in the 58th minute through Nick Woltemade, after which the visitors pressed for a winner while Celta tried to hold on.
The decisive moment came deep in stoppage time, when Andrea Cambiaso supplied the cross and Kolo Muani finished to make it 2-1. Juventus had dominated the shooting, finishing with 22 attempts to Celta's nine, and they also forced seven corners to the hosts' two.
Celta Vigo return to La Liga action at home to Alaves on Sunday 18 October, while Juventus are also at home that day, facing Lazio in Serie A.
Nick Woltemade scored the equaliser in the 58th minute and was the top-rated performer on 8.2. Andrea Cambiaso added the assist for the winner.
Juventus had 22 shots to Celta Vigo's nine, a gap that reflected their territorial pressure after the interval.
Juventus won 2–1 away against Celta Vigo (half-time 1–0).
Celta Vigo met Juventus in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Municipal de Balaídos. Referee: Sander van der Eijk.
Team pages: Celta Vigo · Juventus · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Hugo Álvarez (assist: Williot Swedberg) — 1–0 · Watch Hugo Álvarez's goal video (18')
- 58' Goal: Nick Woltemade — 1–1 · Watch Nick Woltemade's goal video (58')
- 90+2' Goal: Randal Kolo Muani (assist: Andrea Cambiaso) — 1–2 · Watch Randal Kolo Muani's goal video (90+2')
Starting line-ups
Celta Vigo (3-4-3)
Juventus (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Celta Vigo 32%, the draw 27%, Juventus 41%. It finished Celta Vigo 1–2 Juventus.
Juventus's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Juventus sit 136 points higher on our strength rating, 1803 to 1667, which is the main reason we give them 41% to Celta Vigo's 32%, though home sides do well in the UEFA Europa League. The draw sits at 27%, lifted by both teams' low-scoring recent games but pulled back by this competition's usual draw rate.
Why Juventus at 41%?
Juventus sit 136 points higher on our strength rating — 1803 to 1667. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,839 such games. Juventus sit -0.52 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,527 such games where the class table expected 35.9%. The 300 most similar past games finished 26–30–44.
Why only 41%?
UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,456 games vs 44.6% across all 101,206 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,741. The goals environment adds 2.9 points to the draw. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
Juventus have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Celta Vigo in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Out: Manuel Locatelli, a star player, Kenan Yıldız, an important player, and Khéphren Thuram, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Celta Vigo vs Juventus final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Hugo Álvarez's goal against Juventus (18').
- Watch Nick Woltemade's goal against Celta Vigo (58').
- Watch Randal Kolo Muani's goal against Celta Vigo (90+2').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Celta Vigo 1–2 Juventus. Explore more on the Celta Vigo and Juventus team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.